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Title: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Tender Branson on July 24, 2016, 01:20:21 AM 487 LV, July 11-21:
44% Trump 27% Clinton 7% Johnson 6% Others 16% Undecided PDF Link (http://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/hutchnews.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/1/92/1926b6ac-a5f6-5a77-85b5-3231499f83d7/5794264c5bf4c.pdf.pdf) http://cjonline.com/news/2016-07-24/poll-huelskamp-marshall-tied-trump-leads-clinton-kansas Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on July 24, 2016, 01:29:32 AM Thank God, I was getting worried.
Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Xing on July 24, 2016, 01:34:11 AM RIP Battleground Kansas :'(
Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Tender Branson on July 24, 2016, 01:34:36 AM But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide.
Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on July 24, 2016, 01:37:19 AM But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide. To be fair, Fort Hayes's poll of the Kansas Caucus had Clinton up 10. Sanders won it by 35.4%. So they're not exactly a star pollster either. Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: Tender Branson on July 24, 2016, 01:44:53 AM But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide. To be fair, Fort Hayes's poll of the Kansas Caucus had Clinton up 10. Sanders won it by 35.4%. So they're not exactly a star pollster either. The KS caucus had only a 2% turnout on the DEM side (40.000 of 2 million registered people) (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_2zR7LlDVUpVs1WM5S_bzeuooOvlVPvJVsEj4MXCOa4/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=0). Polling a 2% race is ... pretty hard. A poll of GE voters should be much more accurate. Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: politicallefty on July 24, 2016, 02:14:36 AM This is more realistic than some of what we've seen in terms of margin between Clinton and Trump. On a good night, Hillary might do marginally better than Obama 2008. At worst, it might be a replay of 2012. I don't think Trump will break 60% though.
Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: politicallefty on July 24, 2016, 07:13:44 AM B-b-but muh trend D KS :( Romney won Kansas by almost 22%, while losing nationwide by about 4%. Unless you have Clinton winning by the biggest margin in almost or at least 30 years, a 17% loss in Kansas would be a trend towards the Democrats compared to 2012. But, personally, I'm not one to think trends mean all that much. Title: Re: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17 Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on July 24, 2016, 09:09:53 AM So, I guess this means that Trump is up by close to 25 nationally
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