Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: ElectionsGuy on July 11, 2015, 09:45:42 PM



Title: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: ElectionsGuy on July 11, 2015, 09:45:42 PM
All of these are estimated based on exit poll material.

Obama voters: 55% White, 24% Black, 14% Hispanic, 4.3% Asian, 2.3% Other.
Romney voters: 90% White, 6% Hispanic, 1.7% Black, 1.7% Asian, 1.6% Other.

Obama voters: 57% Female, 43% Male
Romney voters: 52% Male, 48% Female

Obama voters: 22% 18-29, 27% 30-44, 35% 45-64, 14% 65+
Romney voters: 15% 18-29, 26% 30-44, 41% 45-64, 19% 65+

Obama voters: 24% Catholic, 23% Other Christian, 21% Protestant, 16% None, 10% Other, 2.7% Jewish, 0.8% Mormon.
Romney voters: 38% Protestant, 25% Catholic, 24% Other Christian, 6.6% None, 3.6% Other, 3.3% Mormon, 1.3% Jewish.


Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 06, 2015, 02:48:45 AM
I think this is self-explanatory, and was made in part to help with my ongoing Obama white voters by county project (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=210084.0).

View full-sized image (http://i.imgur.com/dolWh3v.png)

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Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 06, 2015, 05:18:57 PM
Oh, I forgot to mention and it might be worth saying: I calculated my national figures by race independently by projecting from 2008 data mostly, so unless my map was from where you got it, the Democratic math at least seems to be sound.


Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: hopper on August 07, 2015, 11:11:20 PM
The average Obama Voter lives in my state. Cool!


Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: StatesPoll on December 26, 2015, 12:46:38 PM
All of these are estimated based on exit poll material.

Obama voters: 55% White, 24% Black, 14% Hispanic, 4.3% Asian, 2.3% Other.
Romney voters: 90% White, 6% Hispanic, 1.7% Black, 1.7% Asian, 1.6% Other.

Obama voters: 57% Female, 43% Male
Romney voters: 52% Male, 48% Female

Obama voters: 22% 18-29, 27% 30-44, 35% 45-64, 14% 65+
Romney voters: 15% 18-29, 26% 30-44, 41% 45-64, 19% 65+

Obama voters: 24% Catholic, 23% Other Christian, 21% Protestant, 16% None, 10% Other, 2.7% Jewish, 0.8% Mormon.
Romney voters: 38% Protestant, 25% Catholic, 24% Other Christian, 6.6% None, 3.6% Other, 3.3% Mormon, 1.3% Jewish.

GOP choose wrong candidate. if it was protestant could gather much more white votes for sure.


Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: SingingAnalyst on February 08, 2016, 11:08:15 AM
All of these are estimated based on exit poll material.

Obama voters: 55% White, 24% Black, 14% Hispanic, 4.3% Asian, 2.3% Other.
Romney voters: 90% White, 6% Hispanic, 1.7% Black, 1.7% Asian, 1.6% Other.

Obama voters: 57% Female, 43% Male
Romney voters: 52% Male, 48% Female

Obama voters: 22% 18-29, 27% 30-44, 35% 45-64, 14% 65+
Romney voters: 15% 18-29, 26% 30-44, 41% 45-64, 19% 65+

Obama voters: 24% Catholic, 23% Other Christian, 21% Protestant, 16% None, 10% Other, 2.7% Jewish, 0.8% Mormon.
Romney voters: 38% Protestant, 25% Catholic, 24% Other Christian, 6.6% None, 3.6% Other, 3.3% Mormon, 1.3% Jewish.
If I were a Republican strategist I'd be scared ****less that 3 in 5 supporters would be 49 or older as of 2016.


Title: Re: Demographic Makeup of Each Party's Voters
Post by: hopper on February 15, 2016, 02:29:09 PM
All of these are estimated based on exit poll material.

Obama voters: 55% White, 24% Black, 14% Hispanic, 4.3% Asian, 2.3% Other.
Romney voters: 90% White, 6% Hispanic, 1.7% Black, 1.7% Asian, 1.6% Other.

Obama voters: 57% Female, 43% Male
Romney voters: 52% Male, 48% Female

Obama voters: 22% 18-29, 27% 30-44, 35% 45-64, 14% 65+
Romney voters: 15% 18-29, 26% 30-44, 41% 45-64, 19% 65+

Obama voters: 24% Catholic, 23% Other Christian, 21% Protestant, 16% None, 10% Other, 2.7% Jewish, 0.8% Mormon.
Romney voters: 38% Protestant, 25% Catholic, 24% Other Christian, 6.6% None, 3.6% Other, 3.3% Mormon, 1.3% Jewish.
If I were a Republican strategist I'd be scared ****less that 3 in 5 supporters would be 49 or older as of 2016.
No, the 18-29 age group killed Republicans in 2012. Romney and Obama in the 30-44 age group was identical %vote wise in their respective coalitions.