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Title: 2016 election Post by: President Punxsutawney Phil on March 04, 2015, 12:22:23 AM Considering the South's long-term realignment in favor of the Republicans I was wondering if Hillary Clinton could be a better fit for the South than Obama was.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Devils30 on March 04, 2015, 12:55:49 AM Can win VA FL NC but Georgia is a stretch for now.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: President Punxsutawney Phil on March 04, 2015, 01:13:57 AM What about her chances of winning Arkansas? It's given that in case of, say, a 9% lead nationwide, Hillary is likely to win FL, NC, and VA. But I think that Georgia is likelier to vote for Hillary. For that Democrats need to step up efforts to register voters in the state, and for all my optimism I doubt they will recruit enough.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Boston Bread on March 04, 2015, 12:47:14 PM 3 is the most likely result, 4 is unlikely.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Mr. Illini on March 04, 2015, 02:46:21 PM I don't really think she'll be able to compete in Georgia barring a real landslide, but she could grab three.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: IceSpear on March 04, 2015, 03:47:41 PM Does MO count as Confederate?
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: President Punxsutawney Phil on March 04, 2015, 11:57:41 PM I voted yes because the question was worded too broadly… yes, she could win 4 states: VA, FL, NC, GA… but this seems unlikely. If she did win I think it would be on the strength of minority voters moreso than broader appeal to whites. Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Devils30 on March 06, 2015, 05:12:46 PM Hillary has a path to 47% in Georgia, it's just that the state is so inelastic that it's probably 2020 or even 2024 before it flips. Once it's a swing state it's not going back solid red.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: President Punxsutawney Phil on August 26, 2016, 05:51:12 PM Bump
Lol early me. Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: LLR on August 26, 2016, 06:18:26 PM VA, FL, NC, either GA or SC is easy and likely at this point.
Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Kingpoleon on August 26, 2016, 09:08:58 PM What about her chances of winning Arkansas? It's given that in case of, say, a 9% lead nationwide, Hillary is likely to win FL, NC, and VA. But I think that Georgia is likelier to vote for Hillary. For that Democrats need to step up efforts to register voters in the state, and for all my optimism I doubt they will recruit enough. To answer the question, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida are the obvious three. I think South Carolina will probably flip just a bit after Georgia does, because of ads overflowing from the media markets in NC and GA alongside South Carolina having a bit more flexibility than Georgia. Title: Re: 2016 election Post by: Figueira on September 02, 2016, 04:22:38 PM Option 3, but GA is not outside the realm of possibility.
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