Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 02, 2014, 11:46:48 PM



Title: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 02, 2014, 11:46:48 PM
46/45, 48/47 with Leaners.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: KCDem on November 02, 2014, 11:52:42 PM
Glorious news! Oil Slick Parnell is about to be cleaned up :D


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: The Other Castro on November 02, 2014, 11:53:07 PM
Safe Tossup


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 03, 2014, 12:49:20 AM
This is probably the toughest race of the night to pick. Polls are all over the place, the dynamics are incredibly weird, and you have to factor in the fact that Parnell hasn't been a bad Governor, just caught in a bad situation.

I'm going with lean Parnell, but who knows...


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Maxwell on November 03, 2014, 12:51:14 AM
Gonna stick with Parnell because Alaska.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 03, 2014, 12:52:39 AM

Yup. He's a Republican and an incumbent in Alaska. And Walker isn't ahead by double digits in the polls.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: RI on November 03, 2014, 01:22:30 AM
If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on November 04, 2014, 04:48:19 PM
full results:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/09/close-alaska-races-for-senate-governor.html

true to form, they ask a whole bunch of questions about the Palins but none about the marijuana or mining ballot questions.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 04, 2014, 05:00:06 PM

Haha, exactly.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Eraserhead on November 05, 2014, 06:08:36 PM
Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: IceSpear on November 05, 2014, 06:10:47 PM
Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.

Ironic considering most of their other polls were horrible.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Eraserhead on November 05, 2014, 07:17:07 PM
Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.

Ironic considering most of their other polls were horrible.

Seems like most polls were pretty bad this cycle.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: RI on November 05, 2014, 08:25:29 PM
If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.

So, can we put this to bed now?


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: IceSpear on November 05, 2014, 08:30:55 PM
If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.

So, can we put this to bed now?

Yes, and we can also put the "D bias" one to bed too.


Title: Re: AK (PPP) Walker up 1
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 05, 2014, 08:31:55 PM
Eh, Parnell could still win. Let's wait and see.