Talk Elections

Nice.

They poll the two races that are almost certainly going to a run off instead of CO or IA. Better than nothing, I suppose.

Yeah, why Louisiana? Kind of pointless to poll it since it is guaranteed to go to a runoff

They just polled CO and IA a few days ago.

Because they can say they called it correctly when it goes a run-off :P

GA - Perdue 48 Nunn 44 - Runoff: Perdue 49 Nunn 46
KY - McConnell 50 Grimes 41
LA - Landrieu 44 Cassidy 36 Maness 15 - Runoff: Cassidy 50 Landrieu 45
National Poll - 46% of LVs prefer GOP-controlled Congress, 45% prefer Dem control

KY really is "Safe R" now.

The other numbers are what they are. Both of those races should be headed for runoffs.  It does seem like Nunn has lost the momentum though.

All we need is IA or CO or AK to come in D and win La runoff and will prevail.

Perduementum!

McConnell can't be comfortably ahead because I said Dilma would lose. This is too confusing!

Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

When was this?

After the Perdue Gaffe some D hacks were putting Georgia in their column

Do you have specific examples of this?

"We never thought we'd win Kentucky either." - next Demohack comment

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.

This has nothing to do with losing, it's about a pattern I've nothing. Cliffy, Bawlexus and some other random names all disappeared in 2012, Cliffy was really a troll and he never posted again after he had to admit he was wrong.

Unfortunately. What about cliffy, JJ, POLITICO and those doofs that evaporated post-2012?

Is this just a prediction, or the actual blasted poll?

The actual results.

And they look pretty reasonable.

Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=13220141030008)

Summary: D: 44%, R: 48%, I: 3%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=21220141030008)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 50%, I: 5%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=22220141030008)

Summary: D: 44%, R: 36%, I: 16%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!

A certain amount of irony that you'd post this given that we haven't seen you in how many years?

I see large margins with white voters in these crosstabs.

lol

Luckily Democrats and blacks are hunting down whites across the South! #Reconstruction2014

For GA, it has the AA vote at 29%. Based on early voting, AA vote is hovering around 33%. But who knows that margin might be less come election day.

That's all who should be voting... correct?

Ah, so my "bad predictions" (which are vastly overstated) are only selectively applied. Shocking. You guys should really be a little more sportsman-like and own up when you're wrong. I do it when I'm wrong. Since you're so obsessed with all of my wrong predictions, surely you can admit the "few" times I get it right without whining/excuses.

So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?

And if he is? Take your licks, young man. It's part of the business.

Well, if we want to turn every thread into that, it's fine. It didn't take me more than 5 minutes to find krazen insisting Terri Lynn Land and Ken Cuccinelli would win.

Great. Again, it's part of the business but don't whine because he cares to call out your errors. It's like the children around here that are already looking for excuses instead of giving me credit for my predictions. You want to mock my wrong calls? Fine. Be an adult and admit when I get something right, too.

It had nothing to do with "my errors". He quoted a post earlier in this thread from someone else, and did so in other threads as well. The only thing he's quoted recently from me is a comment that was clearly a joke. It's getting old. As I said, it's not at all hard to find these utterly hilarious posts if we want to go this route.