Talk Elections

New Poll: Colorado Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2014-10-13 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=820141013015)

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, I: 6%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2094)

Considering their last poll had him up double digits, not really as bad as it looks.

Yup, huge momentum for Hickenlooper.

I'm beginning to think that Hickenloopeer will be fine. Udall just ran a really bad campaign, I think.

Explain why this is good Hick news? Beauprez still has a lead

Because the last Q poll had him down 10.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_toward_the_mean

Unless you actually think Quinnipiac has a 12 point House effect this cycle...

That seems about right.

I'd rather have Hick's seat than Udall's.  But my hunch is that if Gardner wins, and he probably will, then Beauprez wins, too. I think that we are all still waiting to see what happens with all e-mail balloting. Best case for Hick is a 1-3 point squeaker win. But most likely the race is just tied and will come down to turnout. Gardner's coattails will help the GOP.

I did think that the Beauprez +10 was an outlier, but I'm just saying that's why this poll is beeing construed as good news for Democrats.

Except Gardner is a much stronger candidate running against someone who is weaker than Hick.

I'm amazed Bob Beauprez, who lost by such a significant amount in 2006, is on the verge of taking the Colorado Governorship.

I don't agree with that at all. What makes you say that?

Let me let you in on a secret. Sawx is a bit of a hack

It not hackish to say that Gardner is a stronger candidate than Beauprez and Udall has run a weaker campaign than Hickenlooper. Shut up.

It's not only not hackish, it's actually the way things are.

Never mind that I've said that Gardner would win if he could cover up his more socially conservative views (which he does have, for the record) from the moment he entered the race. Never mind that Beauprez said the exact same comments as Mitt Romney did in his infamous 47% video, got embarrassed by Bill Ritter eight years ago, and that he essentially said that he didn't believe Obama was born here. Never mind that Gardner has proven himself to actually have the discipline to portray himself as socially moderate, probably would have won by more than 11 in his old district had the Constitution Party not run another candidate, and never mind that he can actually shut the f**k up unlike Beauprez, I'm a hack because THE POLLS SAID SO. Even though Quinnipiac has a shoddy track record in Colorado, and polls usually come around to the Democrats again.

You know what? People like you are why this section of the board is an utter sh*tshow that's only saving grace is that it's not The Great Atlas Hillaryjerk (better known as the 2016 board). You have the hacks (from both sides, might I add) on both sides, but as far as elections goes, you're so divorced from reality that you make Oldiesfreak look like a moderate hero. Maybe if you think everyone who disagrees with you is a hack, you should take some time to stop masturbating to Paul Ryan's workout pictures and take a good look at yourself.

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 I actually think that Beauprez is a great candidate who has run a tremendous campaign. The fact that you're surprised about the tightness of the gubernatorial race is what I find truly surprising--because knowing how vulnerable Hick has been and how solid Beauprez is, I'm not at all surprised.

OK, FreedomHack.

I'll admit, that was pretty good

Doesn't pretty much everyone agree with those two observations regardless of political views?

No.

Except the clueless "independent" from Connecticut...

Will somebody just put a binky in this guy's mouth already

What do you disagree with?

Considering that particular poster's record with his analysis... I wouldn't worry too much.