Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: JRP1994 on October 10, 2014, 06:38:13 PM



Title: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: JRP1994 on October 10, 2014, 06:38:13 PM
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/senate-governor-races-tied-potential-runoffs-futur/nhgXw/

Carter: 45%
Deal: 45%
Hunt: 5%


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 06:42:54 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.

Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on October 10, 2014, 06:57:08 PM
Looks like deal is going to sneak through. Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Questionable Intent on October 10, 2014, 07:02:52 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.

Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.

Looks like deal is going to sneak through. Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.

MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.

Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on October 10, 2014, 07:15:42 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.

Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.

Looks like deal is going to sneak through. Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.

MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.

Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.
republican firm or not, their polls have shown more D leaning results than any other pollster.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Badger on October 10, 2014, 07:25:17 PM
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Questionable Intent on October 10, 2014, 07:30:55 PM
Literally tied in both the Gubernatorial and Senate races? Not exactly buying that.

Upon further review, this firm is even more laughable: dead heat now in both while their last polls showed a D+3 lead in both. Every one of their polls have shown Nunn and Carter ahead except this batch. Stick a fork in both of them.

Looks like deal is going to sneak through. Landmark has had a heavy Dem bias this year.

MoE +/- 3.1%, and this one is within the previous two polls. The first that showed Carter with insane leads (+7 and +8) were taken at the peak of the ethics/Holly LaBerge scandal (Landmark, likewise, never showed Nunn with such massive leads during that time), and weren't ever reflective of the true nature of the race. Georgia isn't that elastic.

Landmark is a Republican firm, so you might want to ponder why they've had such a Democratic bias in the first place.
republican firm or not, their polls have shown more D leaning results than any other pollster.

Yeah, to the point of lunacy and trolling. Now they're moving back to where the race has been all along, so that some will still consider them to be a credible polling firm when one candidate or another wins in the low single digits.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on October 10, 2014, 07:37:36 PM
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.
I'm thinking runoff, but either is plausible.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: Badger on October 10, 2014, 07:55:18 PM
Baring a gamechanger event, the only real question in both GA races is whether the Republicans win outright or in a runoff.
I'm thinking runoff, but either is plausible.

Yeah, my money's on runoffs too.


Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Tied race
Post by: KCDem on October 10, 2014, 11:33:49 PM
Deal will lose.