Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on October 01, 2014, 01:02:52 PM



Title: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 01, 2014, 01:02:52 PM
46/41. (http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/01/usa-today-suffolk-poll-kansas-senate-governor/16520771/)


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Orman +5
Post by: windjammer on October 01, 2014, 01:06:29 PM
It's already tightening


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Orman +5
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 01, 2014, 01:09:46 PM
Suffolk, not SUSA.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Orman +5
Post by: Miles on October 01, 2014, 01:24:58 PM

Everyone else in the past few weeks has shown moderate Orman leads.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: IceSpear on October 01, 2014, 01:25:56 PM
Spectacular news! Gregory the Gallant will make fuels out of the DC fossil!


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 01, 2014, 01:28:11 PM
Spectacular news! Gregory the Gallant will make fuels out of the DC fossil!


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: backtored on October 01, 2014, 01:32:35 PM
I'm not sure which is more odd--Republicans losing Kansas or Democrats losing the Senate while still winning Kansas.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: Senator Cris on October 01, 2014, 01:36:12 PM
PPP, 17 August: Orman + 10
PPP, 14 September: Orman + 10
Fox News, 16 September: Orman + 6
Rasmussen, 17 September: Orman +5
Suffolk, today: Orman +5

From +10 in August, now we have Orman at +5.
The impression is that Roberts is closing the gap, but I'm not sure that he will win re-election.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: IceSpear on October 01, 2014, 02:10:47 PM
PPP, 17 August: Orman + 10
PPP, 14 September: Orman + 10
Fox News, 16 September: Orman + 6
Rasmussen, 17 September: Orman +5
Suffolk, today: Orman +5

From +10 in August, now we have Orman at +5.
The impression is that Roberts is closing the gap, but I'm not sure that he will win re-election.

Or maybe PPP's methodology just gives better results for Orman than the others.

This was from the Suffolk poll:

Quote
Among those voters who know of both Senate candidates, Orman leads Roberts by 52%-40% -- suggesting the independent might be able to stretch his lead as Election Day nears and more voters hear about him.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: cinyc on October 01, 2014, 06:37:22 PM
PPP, 17 August: Orman + 10
PPP, 14 September: Orman + 10
Fox News, 16 September: Orman + 6
Rasmussen, 17 September: Orman +5
Suffolk, today: Orman +5

From +10 in August, now we have Orman at +5.
The impression is that Roberts is closing the gap, but I'm not sure that he will win re-election.

Comparing polls by different pollsters doesn't show a definite trend.  That's comparing apples to oranges.  The only thing that shows a definite trend is polls by the same pollster using the same methodology.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: Maxwell on October 01, 2014, 07:39:45 PM
PPP, 17 August: Orman + 10
PPP, 14 September: Orman + 10
Fox News, 16 September: Orman + 6
Rasmussen, 17 September: Orman +5
Suffolk, today: Orman +5

From +10 in August, now we have Orman at +5.
The impression is that Roberts is closing the gap, but I'm not sure that he will win re-election.

Comparing polls by different pollsters doesn't show a definite trend.  That's comparing apples to oranges.  The only thing that shows a definite trend is polls by the same pollster using the same methodology.

This x 1,000,000

I want to see a PPP poll showing Orman's lead closing before I believe it.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: King on October 01, 2014, 07:40:31 PM
I think the strategy is now clear: Democrats need to stop running candidates in the Plains and South and instead prop up "Independents who are going to clean up Washington."


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: IceSpear on October 01, 2014, 07:51:43 PM
I think the strategy is now clear: Democrats need to stop running candidates in the Plains and South and instead prop up "Independents who are going to clean up Washington."

That's your cue, Weiland.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: KCDem on October 01, 2014, 08:00:41 PM
PPP, 17 August: Orman + 10
PPP, 14 September: Orman + 10
Fox News, 16 September: Orman + 6
Rasmussen, 17 September: Orman +5
Suffolk, today: Orman +5

From +10 in August, now we have Orman at +5.
The impression is that Roberts is closing the gap, but I'm not sure that he will win re-election.

Or maybe PPP's methodology just gives better results for Orman than the others.

This was from the Suffolk poll:

Quote
Among those voters who know of both Senate candidates, Orman leads Roberts by 52%-40% -- suggesting the independent might be able to stretch his lead as Election Day nears and more voters hear about him.

This is the key. Once Orman's name ID meets Pat Roberts, he will win by double digits.


Title: Re: KS-Suffolk: Orman +5
Post by: King on October 01, 2014, 08:08:02 PM
I think the strategy is now clear: Democrats need to stop running candidates in the Plains and South and instead prop up "Independents who are going to clean up Washington."

That's your cue, Weiland.

It may be too late for that, but seriously, if you take off the stigma word Democrat, folksy white people are suddenly interested in what you have to say.