Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Donerail on September 29, 2014, 06:33:01 PM



Title: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Donerail on September 29, 2014, 06:33:01 PM
Charles Baker: 46%
Martha Coakley: 45%
Evan Falchuk: 2%
Jeffrey McCormick: 2%
Scott Lively: 2%

440 likely voters, 4.4% MoE.

Details here (http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20140929_Toplines.pdf).


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Panda Express on September 29, 2014, 06:49:39 PM
3rd poll today showing Baker (barely) ahead or tied. Martha Chokeley indeed


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Maxwell on September 29, 2014, 07:11:11 PM
in b4 someone calls Vox Populi a sexist for no good reason.


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: SWE on September 29, 2014, 07:18:42 PM
Vox Populi is a sexist


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Rockefeller GOP on September 29, 2014, 07:47:09 PM
Get it, Baker!  One small step back toward turning New England red again!  At least purple. :P


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: IceSpear on September 29, 2014, 08:20:20 PM
First of all, LOL YOUGOV

Secondly, this was the same pollster that said Scott Brown would win in 2012. In their final poll.


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Free Bird on September 29, 2014, 11:42:43 PM
First of all, LOL YOUGOV

Secondly, this was the same pollster that said Scott Brown would win in 2012. In their final poll.


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: tpfkaw on September 30, 2014, 12:20:34 AM
First of all, LOL YOUGOV

Secondly, this was the same pollster that said Scott Brown would win in 2012. In their final poll.

YouGov said Warren would win by 7 in their final poll, which was the actual margin she won by.

That the UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion (http://www.uml.edu/Research/Centers/public-opinion/default.aspx), a different pollster, got the race wrong is irrelevant. UMass Lowell isn't even the same university as the one that commissioned this poll (the main UMass campus at Amherst).


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on September 30, 2014, 01:05:11 AM
Wow. This string of good polls may be just a short burst of good luck for Baker, but for now it looks he's going to just barely pull it out.


Title: Re: MA-UMass/YouGov: Baker by 1
Post by: New_Conservative on September 30, 2014, 04:15:30 PM
Democrats in to cry "Republican bias", "This poll SUCKS!"

I still think the 3rd party candidates will hurt Baker, and the Democrats will be able to get out their vote and Coakley will come away with a very small victory, but this helps raise my hopes of a Baker win, especially since this is the 2nd favorable Baker poll released today.


Title: MA: YouGov: Dead heat in Massachusetts as Baker is up by 1
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 30, 2014, 04:44:08 PM
New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by YouGov on 2014-09-23 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2520140923178)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 46%, I: 6%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20140929_Toplines.pdf)