Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on September 29, 2014, 10:37:00 AM



Title: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Miles on September 29, 2014, 10:37:00 AM
Report. (http://media.townhall.com/townhall/blog/gravisthpoll00107.pdf)

Burke (D)- 50%
Walker (R)- 45%

Row offices:

SOS
LaFollette (D)- 50%
Bradley (R)- 37%

Treasurer
Leeper (D)- 38%
Melchert (R)- 35%
Hardy (G)- 10%


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 29, 2014, 10:40:11 AM
Wew, thnx for leading union busting Walker.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Gass3268 on September 29, 2014, 10:42:07 AM
Gravis is usually awful, hopefully this is a blind squirrel finding a nut situation. Regardless, this is going to be the closest of the 3 races for Walker.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: DrScholl on September 29, 2014, 10:54:40 AM
Gravis is never overly favorable to Democrats, so this is good.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 11:12:29 AM
Lol


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 29, 2014, 11:22:12 AM
Good to know with school unions like Burke and Vallas running on behalf of Quinn, we break union busters like Rauner and Walker.




Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Free Bird on September 29, 2014, 11:24:19 AM
lolgravis


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Tirnam on September 29, 2014, 01:46:56 PM
In the same poll they found Burke up by 5 against Walker and Clinton only by 1 against Ryan ?


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 29, 2014, 01:50:46 PM
Gravis is bad but they're usually bad in the Republican's direction. Marquette will have a poll out later this week; we'll see what they say.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Maxwell on September 29, 2014, 02:20:31 PM
Gravis is bad but they're usually bad in the Republican's direction. Marquette will have a poll out later this week; we'll see what they say.

word son.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 29, 2014, 03:17:21 PM
Gravis = Republican bias therefore Burke is leading by a ton despite the fact that 3 other well-respected recent polls beg to differ! (liberal hack response)

Also, Melchert isn't even the republican nominee for Treasurer. What a massive fail.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: eric82oslo on September 29, 2014, 03:32:49 PM
If we take the average of the 4 September polls from Wisconsin, we get this:

Gravis: Burke +5%
Rasmussen: Walker +2%
Marquette University: Walker +3%
WeAskAmerica: Burke +4%

Average: Burke +1%
Median: Burke +1%

Also, three of the four pollsters above have a heavy Republican bias according to 538, as one can see here below:

Gravis: R +1.4%
Rasmussen: R +2.3%
Marquette University: R +0.0%
WeAskAmerica: R +1.5%

That's an average Republican bias of 1.3%. Subtract the Republican bias from Burke's average lead in September, and her lead increases from +1% to +2.3%.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Mr. Illini on September 29, 2014, 03:38:01 PM
A good hint, but I'll wait for Marquette to make any conclusions on the race.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: KCDem on September 29, 2014, 04:29:41 PM
Gravis is junk.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Free Bird on September 29, 2014, 05:24:14 PM

Sweet Jesus KC just made sense


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 29, 2014, 05:47:17 PM


There are minority voters who are just starting to pay attention now, and young voters to election, and they are warming up to Dems again. Just like the Tribune poll showed Quinn in lead.


Walker as well as Rauner are running against the teachers union in Vallas on behalf of Quinn and Burke.

We will see if other polls corroberate.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: IceSpear on September 29, 2014, 08:18:49 PM
>Gravis


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: krazen1211 on October 03, 2014, 07:42:48 AM
Gravis is recalling this junk poll.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Badger on October 03, 2014, 10:21:22 AM
RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Miles on October 03, 2014, 10:52:23 AM
RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?

They didn't weigh for geography, unlike Marquette.

Similarly, UNH recalled their NH-02 poll earlier this week. They put out new numbers yesterday (http://www.concordmonitor.com/news/campaignmonitor/13798756-95/nec-revises-poll-showing-kuster-gained-ground-with-voters) which showed an increased Democratic lead. You're not gonna see Krazen pointing that one out, though.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on October 03, 2014, 11:03:28 AM
RdO
Recalling? As in publically disavowing?

Why don't they just recall the entire Gravis Marketing company while they're at it.


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: MurrayBannerman on October 03, 2014, 12:00:15 PM
Gravis = Republican bias therefore Burke is leading by a ton despite the fact that 3 other well-respected recent polls beg to differ! (liberal hack response)

Also, Melchert isn't even the republican nominee for Treasurer. What a massive fail.

I lol'd


Title: Re: WI: Gravis: Burke in the lead
Post by: DrScholl on October 03, 2014, 04:38:29 PM
Walker's people must have come down on them really hard for this poll.