Talk Elections

Orman (I) 41%
Roberts (R) 34%
Taylor (D) 6%
Banston (L) 4%

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/16/pat-roberts-poll_n_5828408.html?1410871524&ncid=tweetlnkushpmg00000067

Crosstabs:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/KansasResultsPPP916.pdf

Orman leads Roberts by 10 in a head-to-head matchup.

I have also heard somewhere that PPP's North Carolina poll today or tomorrow will show Hagan up by at least 4 points.

Will Chad Taylor still be on the ballot?

Looking good.

Well, the KS Supreme Court will hear the case today and decide either today or tomorrow on it, because the deadline to print the ballots ends tomorrow (military voters overseas will start to get their ballots on Saturday).

Holy crap this is amazeballs.

But, but muh Republican Wave!

Wow

hahaha jesus christ

Sarkozy will be reelected.

Even if Taylor support were to be around 10% (as in previous polls,but there is no reason for it to be that high come November...) Orman would still be in the lead.

Dominating.

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-09-14 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=20220140914108)

Summary: D: 6%, R: 34%, I: 41%, U: 19%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/16/pat-roberts-poll_n_5828408.html?1410871524&ncid=tweetlnkushpmg00000067)

Awful.  I wonder if this is a JoCo thing or if the state is in anti-GOP rebellion generally.

What I really don't get is the pretty overt GOP support for Orman and Davis.  There are few states other than Kansas I can think of where the GOP divide is so pronounced and where a significant block of Republicans defect to the Democrats.  Sit it out?  Sure, that happens.  But actually campaign for the Democrat—or, “Independent,” as it were?  Bizarre.

About 40% of Taylor voters in the poll still don't know that he's dropped out. I seriously doubt he'll end up with more than 2-3% of the vote, even if he is kept on the ballot.

That's why doing research helps, if you did that, it wouldn't be so confusing. Kathleen Sebelius got elected Governor because moderate Republicans were willing to crossover and vote for her. In the past cycle, moderate Republicans have been purged by conservative Republicans, which has triggered moderate Republicans to crossover.

Haha! Looks like Gregory the Gallant is about to give the DC fossil a good thrashing!

I think Taylor will probably end up staying on the ballot but it won't matter. All the yellow dogs that vote for him wouldn't have gone to Orman anyway

Please don't become the democratic equivalent of krazen

I thought he was going for a pale, PC version of KCDem (who is already the Democratic Krazen...or would be if he weren't most likely an inverse of that D-IN poster's socks.

You have to win a sizable chunk of the R vote in Kansas to win statewide.

The cross tabs are pretty awful for Roberts*, 53% of voters say he considers DC his home and 63% thinks he spends too little in kansas.

Brownback or Roberts? :P
What a strange Governor who considers DC his home. :D

Oops :P I thought something was off when I was typing that.

Republicans in Kansas are trailing by 5+ points in both the Senate and Governor's races. Who would've predicted this three months ago?

Only 62% of those that want a GOP control Senate are backing Roberts. Wait until they come home, folks.

Despite this new poll, 538 still gives Republicans a 51% chance to win Kansas. I guess that's mostly because they think there's a 25% chance that Orman might actually caucus with the GOP. :P

Just like they did in 2012 at Montana, Indiana and North Dakota.

Totally different circumstances in a very different year with far more credible Dem candidates. But thanks for calling in, troll.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA....everything is a different circumstance, right? LOL Roberts will be reelected just like the human waste from Pennsylvania.

You are the perfect embodiment of the garbage around this place. 

Thank you for not backing up your claims. Good bye.

Oh, if only we could get that lucky!

This is a bad sign. It's one of the reasons why Elizabeth Dole went down in 2008 (well, there were many) and why Grassley tours the whole state of Iowa annually.

Yes, the residency issue is very damaging to Roberts. Partisanship might not be enough to save him and it's starting to look like it won't be enough.

Hopefully Gregory the Gallant can continue to capitalize on this issue and use it to retire the DC fossil.