Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on September 04, 2014, 05:12:27 PM



Title: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Miles on September 04, 2014, 05:12:27 PM
Article. (http://weaskamerica.com/2014/09/04/3rd-time-around/)

Burke (D)- 48%
Walker (R)- 44%
Other- 2%
Not sure- 6%

Both are getting about 90% with their parties. They're splitting Independents 44/44 whereas Walker carried them 56/42 in 2010.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 04, 2014, 05:30:22 PM
()


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Panda Express on September 04, 2014, 05:34:42 PM
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Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Potus on September 04, 2014, 05:45:55 PM
Junk poll. Barack Obama doesn't have a 44-48 approval rating, period.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: eric82oslo on September 04, 2014, 05:46:57 PM
Both are getting about 90% with their parties. They're splitting Independents 44/44 whereas Walker carried them 56/42 in 2010.

Ottimo, eccellente. :D


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on September 04, 2014, 05:49:46 PM
Walker's gonna sit down after he stops...


...Walking  8)



YEAAHHHHHHHHHH


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: backtored on September 04, 2014, 06:26:35 PM
Wow.

It's hard to know what to make of these gubernatorial races.  I tend to think that this is going to be a wonderful Republican year. But then you see  poll like this. 


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Maxwell on September 04, 2014, 06:29:37 PM
I feel like things are normalling from 2008 and 2010, which means Democrats gain Governorships and Republicans gain Senate seats (though Republicans seem to be screwing the pooch there too!)


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 04, 2014, 06:30:21 PM
Good news


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on September 04, 2014, 06:50:41 PM
Wow.

It's hard to know what to make of these gubernatorial races.  I tend to think that this is going to be a wonderful Republican year. But then you see  poll like this. 

What makes you think this would be in the first place?  Other than the fact that a bunch of Democratic senators in GOP states are retiring, the Dems are, for the most part, likely to hold their own in the gubernatorial/house races. 


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: NHLiberal on September 04, 2014, 07:02:26 PM
Wow.

It's hard to know what to make of these gubernatorial races.  I tend to think that this is going to be a wonderful Republican year. But then you see  poll like this. 

What makes you think this would be in the first place?  Other than the fact that a bunch of Democratic senators in GOP states are retiring, the Dems are, for the most part, likely to hold their own in the gubernatorial/house races. 

Exactly, it's not going to be a "wonderful" Republican year, or a wonderful year for either party. Because both parties are in power and both are unpopular. Hatred for the other party isn't enough for a wonderful year, your party has to be really appealing, like Dems were in 2006 or Republicans were in 2010. This isn't gonna be a banner year for either party, and in theory should be a fairly neutral one when you weight the sixth-year losses against the sh*tty state of the GOP/their general unpopularity (1998 style), but what's actually happening is what IDS Emperor Maxwell said-- things normalizing from 08 and 10.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Anti Democrat Democrat Club on September 04, 2014, 08:59:05 PM
huh.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: KCDem on September 04, 2014, 09:13:11 PM
WAA is a junk firm. Throw it out.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Free Bird on September 04, 2014, 09:40:06 PM

Holy crap I agree with KC on something


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Gass3268 on September 04, 2014, 10:27:04 PM
This isn't good for Walker, WAA tends to lean R.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Flake on September 04, 2014, 10:29:15 PM

^
It's definitely a great poll from a GOP leaning pollster for Burke, but WAA is pretty terrible nonetheless.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: IceSpear on September 04, 2014, 11:06:45 PM
>WAA


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2014, 05:53:30 AM
Hopefully Burke doesn't peak too early ...

But they way this is going, Walker will get clobbered in the direction of 53-46.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Gass3268 on September 05, 2014, 07:49:59 AM
Junk poll. Barack Obama doesn't have a 44-48 approval rating, period.

RCP average approval rating is 41.7/52.7. Obama doing 3ish points better in Wisconsin isn't that out of the question.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: henster on September 05, 2014, 01:38:52 PM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Anti Democrat Democrat Club on September 05, 2014, 02:54:48 PM
WAA is okay nationwide (and only seems to be junk in Illinois), but there's obviously reason to be skeptical here.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: ElectionsGuy on September 05, 2014, 03:31:36 PM
Isn't WAA republican leaning? So by that logic Burke should be leading by more? This seems junk to me, Obama's favor-ability ratings are too good and Burke's huge lead with women seems weird. But any way we put this, Walker is vulnerable.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Holmes on September 07, 2014, 11:49:29 AM
Well, America was asked, and America has overwhelmingly chosen to reject the Republicans in Wisconsin. Dominating!


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Free Bird on September 07, 2014, 01:02:04 PM
Well, America was asked, and America has overwhelmingly chosen to reject the Republicans in Wisconsin. Dominating!

I don't know anymore


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Potus on September 07, 2014, 02:37:48 PM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: IceSpear on September 07, 2014, 03:15:42 PM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.

I agree with you that WAA is a junk pollster, but the national polls are pretty consistent that Obama has a 40-42% approval rating nationally. It wouldn't make any sense to be doing worse in MN/WI than nationally, and he should be doing a tad better in those states.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Nhoj on September 08, 2014, 11:40:14 AM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.
Susa is really bad at polling MN.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Miles on September 08, 2014, 11:43:08 AM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.
Susa is really bad at polling MN.

Meh, its decent. It had Dayton winning by 1 in 2010, Obama by 11 and Klobuchar by 30 for 2012.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Nhoj on September 08, 2014, 12:31:16 PM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.
Susa is really bad at polling MN.
Maybe its improved a bit in recent years, because it had something like McCain 1 in 08.
Meh, its decent. It had Dayton winning by 1 in 2010, Obama by 11 and Klobuchar by 30 for 2012.
Maybe its improved a bit in recent years, because it had something like McCain 1 in 08.


Title: Re: WI: WAA: Burke in the lead
Post by: Gass3268 on September 08, 2014, 12:41:27 PM
Obama approval rating will not be the same throughout the country WI is a blue state not unusual his approvals would be higher there same as MN.

SUSA has him at 38% approval in Minnesota. He's not better off in Wisconsin than Minnesota. WAA is a junk poll and a bunch of red avvies are hypocrites for saying otherwise.

I agree with you that WAA is a junk pollster, but the national polls are pretty consistent that Obama has a 40-42% approval rating nationally. It wouldn't make any sense to be doing worse in MN/WI than nationally, and he should be doing a tad better in those states.

This exactly, I don't see how this is that hard to understand.