Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on August 27, 2014, 09:20:53 AM



Title: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Tender Branson on August 27, 2014, 09:20:53 AM
44% Mark Pryor (D)
43% Tom Cotton (R)

Pryor gains 1 point, Cotton loses 4 points compared with their last poll.

Link later.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Miles on August 27, 2014, 09:27:49 AM
Good news for Pryorcare.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: dmmidmi on August 27, 2014, 09:28:58 AM
Pryormentum


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Senator Cris on August 27, 2014, 09:38:09 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Person Man on August 27, 2014, 09:51:51 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?

Pryor is probably doing better. Obamacare saved his life and is now saving his job. People want to be done with reform for at least the remainder of the decade.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: dmmidmi on August 27, 2014, 09:53:07 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?

Quote
Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

This is what I keep in mind--I don't think Rasmussen is totally useless. I just mentally shift their results 3-4 points towards Democrats.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 27, 2014, 09:54:34 AM
He has finally come around that this race is still in play.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: backtored on August 27, 2014, 10:10:07 AM
Well, that's interesting.

Arkansas has always been the one southern state (except for the more obvious North Carolina) that I've been worried about.  It is Arkansas, after all.

I don't think Pryor will win, but the fact that Arkansas is still probably in play is a little worrisome. 


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: RogueBeaver on August 27, 2014, 10:33:52 AM
> Rassy


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Dixie Reborn on August 27, 2014, 10:38:52 AM


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: DrScholl on August 27, 2014, 10:46:36 AM
This poll is rigged, Cotton is really up by 20.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: ElectionsGuy on August 27, 2014, 11:17:53 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?

^^


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 27, 2014, 11:21:04 AM
DOMINATING


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Never on August 27, 2014, 11:27:29 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?

^^


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Free Bird on August 27, 2014, 12:33:55 PM

^^


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: windjammer on August 27, 2014, 01:53:56 PM


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Vega on August 27, 2014, 03:08:56 PM


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: IceSpear on August 27, 2014, 04:43:29 PM
Looks like Pryor is in for a good blancheing. Oh wait, I accidentally went back in time a year. ;)


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on August 27, 2014, 05:04:21 PM

Why does the "[insert Dem candidate here]-care" joke work on me every time in every thread?


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: GaussLaw on August 27, 2014, 07:03:34 PM
Well, AR-SEN is a tossup, as is LA-SEN, CO-SEN, IA-SEN, NC-SEN, and AK-SEN.  This is going to be an exciting final 90 days.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: IceSpear on August 27, 2014, 07:07:49 PM
Well, AR-SEN is a tossup, as is LA-SEN, CO-SEN, IA-SEN, NC-SEN, and AK-SEN.  This is going to be an exciting final 90 days.

You forgot KY-Sen. Btw, it's less than 70 days at this point. :P


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Panda Express on August 27, 2014, 07:08:15 PM
Excellent. Looks like the raccoon-eating bastard isn't done just yet.


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: SPQR on August 29, 2014, 09:09:02 AM
Well, AR-SEN is a tossup, as is LA-SEN, CO-SEN, IA-SEN, NC-SEN, and AK-SEN.  This is going to be an exciting final 90 days.

Speaking of which...where the hell are the Colorado polls?!?


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Senator Cris on August 29, 2014, 09:44:51 AM
Well, AR-SEN is a tossup, as is LA-SEN, CO-SEN, IA-SEN, NC-SEN, and AK-SEN.  This is going to be an exciting final 90 days.

Speaking of which...where the hell are the Colorado polls?!?
The last CO poll is of July 24 :(


Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Niemeyerite on August 29, 2014, 10:05:57 AM



Title: Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1
Post by: Miles on August 29, 2014, 10:08:29 AM
Well, AR-SEN is a tossup, as is LA-SEN, CO-SEN, IA-SEN, NC-SEN, and AK-SEN.  This is going to be an exciting final 90 days.

You forgot KY-Sen. Btw, it's less than 70 days at this point. :P

Well, if LA, or GA, goes to a runoff...