Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: krazen1211 on May 29, 2014, 03:03:27 PM



Title: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: krazen1211 on May 29, 2014, 03:03:27 PM
Link (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Civitas_NC_052914B.pdf)

Tillis 46
Hagan 41



Great news!


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on May 29, 2014, 03:06:29 PM
I have Krazen on ignore, what were the poll results?


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Miles on May 29, 2014, 03:36:25 PM
Tillis 46-41.

I have him on ignore too. The poll was posted at RRH, he just beat me to posting it.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Keystone Phil on May 29, 2014, 04:22:45 PM
Good luck putting the November result on ignore.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: GaussLaw on May 29, 2014, 04:48:52 PM
I can't believe I'm saying this, but it looks like Mark Pryor is now the least-endangered red state incumbent in the Senate.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on May 29, 2014, 05:46:22 PM
Good luck putting the November result on ignore.

Why would I want to ignore Hagan's re-election?


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Never on May 29, 2014, 06:04:19 PM
Good luck putting the November result on ignore.

Why would I want to ignore Hagan's re-election?

Because that might not happen.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: free my dawg on May 29, 2014, 06:44:53 PM
I could see this as a best case scenario for Tillis.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Miles on May 30, 2014, 12:43:21 PM
Its probably worth noting that with the Libertarian included, (http://www.politicsnc.com/civitas-tillis-edges-hagan/) Tillis leads 39-36-8. Not the 11% PPP had, but he could well end up with 2-4% in November, potentially enough to spoil it.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 30, 2014, 05:53:46 PM
This is literally a push poll. Read the questions.

Quote
And if the election for U.S. Senate and Congress were being held today, would you rather…
Elect a Republican who will be a check and balance to President Obama's policies and programs [or]

Elect a Democrat who will support President Obama's programs and policies.

Shouldn't be entered into the database IMO.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: Mr. Reactionary on June 02, 2014, 12:27:16 AM
Good luck putting the November result on ignore.

I have to admit, I thought that was a good comeback.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: GaussLaw on June 02, 2014, 10:20:48 AM
This is literally a push poll. Read the questions.

Quote
And if the election for U.S. Senate and Congress were being held today, would you rather…
Elect a Republican who will be a check and balance to President Obama's policies and programs [or]

Elect a Democrat who will support President Obama's programs and policies.

Shouldn't be entered into the database IMO.

Honestly, I'm not sure the impact of that question is much greater than "Do you approve of the President, or not?" or something like that.    I'm sure most people who disapprove of Obama would make the Obama <-> Hagan connection themselves.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: free my dawg on June 02, 2014, 04:25:18 PM
Also worth noting that krazen conveniently left out the fact that this "poll" only polls two candidates, and there's a libertarian in it.


Title: Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead
Post by: illegaloperation on June 04, 2014, 08:58:18 PM
A poll by Art Pope. I totally believe it. /s


Title: NC: Civitas Institute: Tillis Leading Hagen in North Carolina
Post by: ElectionAtlas on June 05, 2014, 09:42:52 AM
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Civitas Institute on 2014-05-22 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140522124)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Civitas_NC_052914B.pdf)