Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on May 21, 2014, 01:20:50 PM



Title: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Miles on May 21, 2014, 01:20:50 PM
Article. (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/05/ernst-leads-gop-field-braley-still-up-in-general.html)

Primary

Ernst- 34%
Jacobs- 18%
Clovis- 14%
Whitaker-6%

General

Braley (D)- 45%
Ernst (R)- 39%

Braley (D)- 42%
Jacobs (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Whitaker (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Clovis (R)- 34%

Obama is at 41/53.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Maxwell on May 21, 2014, 01:22:33 PM
Jesus. At this rate, Clovis probably beats Jacobs, but Ernst wins by a large margin.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Tender Branson on May 21, 2014, 01:28:44 PM
It should be noted that all 3 leading Republicans are ahead among Indies in the general election.

Ernst actually leads Braley by 10 among Indies.

Who knows, the race may be a toss-up among likely voters (with a more Republican sample) ...


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Miles on May 21, 2014, 01:39:35 PM
^ Yeah, this is 38D/34R/28I sample. 2010 was 31D/35R/34I.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: windjammer on May 21, 2014, 01:41:37 PM
Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: tmthforu94 on May 21, 2014, 03:31:51 PM
Republicans should start focusing more resources here. This race is likely more winnable than Michigan.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Maxwell on May 21, 2014, 03:35:46 PM
Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: windjammer on May 21, 2014, 03:37:56 PM
Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: Maxwell on May 21, 2014, 03:47:23 PM
Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: windjammer on May 21, 2014, 03:57:35 PM
Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?

Yes, I know, Ernst has the potential to screw the pooch. But she needs to be so awful, and I don't think she's an awful candidate (she's not good too).

But I seriously believe that Iowa has been seriously underestimated.

And for Romney, I don't know, but he's preparing something, I don't know why.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: LeBron on May 22, 2014, 07:06:54 AM
Well, looks like it's not going to a convention (sorry Whitaker), but Ernst is still one of the best GOP nominees Braley can get and the Tea Party is bound to blow it here. She's Palin-backed and in typical fashion, has ads of her "shooting/killing" Obamacare. Plus Iowa has never elected a woman to the Senate. As far as I know, she's not as well-funded as self-funder Jacobs is either which only further helps Braley and Ernst isn't even attacking Braley on his gaffe yet. I'm still not to worried about this race.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on May 22, 2014, 01:21:50 PM
I guess people forgot about the "farmer" gaffe?


Title: IA: Public Policy Polling: Braley Leads Republican Field in Iowa
Post by: ElectionAtlas on May 23, 2014, 04:40:02 PM
New Poll: Iowa Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-19 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=19220140519108)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_Iowa%200521.pdf)