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Title: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: Tender Branson on May 13, 2014, 10:31:57 AM Q4 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Kay Hagan, Republican Thom Tillis, and Libertarian Sean Haugh. If the election was today, who would you vote for? Kay Hagan...................................................... 38% Thom Tillis ...................................................... 36% Sean Haugh.................................................... 11% Undecided....................................................... 15% Q5 Horse Race with Waugh supporters asked whether they would lean to Hagan or Tillis: Kay Hagan...................................................... 41% Thom Tillis ...................................................... 41% Not sure .......................................................... 18% Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance? Approve .......................................................... 42% Disapprove...................................................... 52% Not sure .......................................................... 6% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan’s job performance? Approve .......................................................... 38% Disapprove...................................................... 49% Not sure .......................................................... 13% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Thom Tillis? Favorable........................................................ 30% Unfavorable .................................................... 46% Not sure .......................................................... 25% ... http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_513.pdf Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: NewYorkExpress on May 13, 2014, 10:39:22 AM I doubt Waugh's going to get eleven... Which means I'd put this race at tossup Tilt/R, But Hagan still has a decent chance to win.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: krazen1211 on May 13, 2014, 10:52:04 AM Great news!
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: Miles on May 13, 2014, 10:54:37 AM This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 13, 2014, 11:30:06 AM Funny that Obama is the most popular of all three of them.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: IceSpear on May 13, 2014, 12:02:12 PM Who will be more likely to abandon the libertarian, the Hagan second choice voters or the Tillis second choice voters? You'd think the former, but VA-Gov seemed to be the opposite.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: Gass3268 on May 13, 2014, 01:35:46 PM No post primary bounce for Tillis.
Excellent News! Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: Maxwell on May 13, 2014, 02:05:03 PM Who will be more likely to abandon the libertarian, the Hagan second choice voters or the Tillis second choice voters? You'd think the former, but VA-Gov seemed to be the opposite. I think there is a difference between the Virginia Democratic Party and the North Carolina Democratic Party though. I actually think that the first one is more fiscally conservative than the latter. It could go either way though. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: SPC on May 13, 2014, 02:06:38 PM This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37. Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: krazen1211 on May 13, 2014, 03:08:19 PM This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37. Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe. Yes, hence Hagan is trying to slime Tillis by associating Tillis with the horrific Hagancare (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2014/apr/22/kay-hagan/kay-hagan-says-gop-rival-thom-tillis-called-obamac/) Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: free my dawg on May 13, 2014, 03:10:02 PM This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37. Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe. the horrific Hagancare (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2014/apr/22/kay-hagan/kay-hagan-says-gop-rival-thom-tillis-called-obamac/) () Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: ElectionsGuy on May 13, 2014, 03:21:16 PM No post primary bounce for Tillis. Excellent News! There's no change whatsoever. Excellent news because... Tillis is supposed to be doing better all the sudden? Title: Re: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied Post by: SWE on May 13, 2014, 04:15:00 PM This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37. Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe. Yes, hence Hagan is trying to slime Tillis by associating Tillis with the horrific Hagancare (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2014/apr/22/kay-hagan/kay-hagan-says-gop-rival-thom-tillis-called-obamac/) What happened to Shaheencare? Title: NC: Public Policy Polling: Close Contest in NC with Libertarian at 11% Post by: ElectionAtlas on May 14, 2014, 10:06:05 AM New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-11 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140511108)
Summary: D: 38%, R: 36%, U: 15% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_513.pdf) |