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Title: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Tender Branson on April 08, 2014, 02:14:00 PM Later more ...
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: windjammer on April 08, 2014, 03:39:17 PM Quote She trails most of her Republicans opponents by small margins- it's 44/40 against Mark Harris, 43/39 against Heather Grant, 42/40 against Greg Brannon, 41/40 against Edward Kryn, 42/41 against Alex Bradshaw, and 43/42 against Ted Alexander. Hagan does tie Jim Snyder at 41, and the one Republican who she actually leads is her most likely opponent- she has a slim 43/41 edge over Thom Tillis. - See more at: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/04/nc-senate-race-remains-a-toss-up.html#more Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Miles on April 08, 2014, 04:56:16 PM Almost exactly the same results as SUSA- Harris doing the best, Tillis doing the worst.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Sol on April 08, 2014, 05:08:16 PM Wonderful news!
The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Miles on April 08, 2014, 05:11:07 PM For the primary:
Tillis-18% Brannon- 15% Harris- 11% Grant- 7% Alexander- 6% Bradshaw- 5% Snyder- 2% Kryn- 1% Unsure- 34% Again, SUSA also had exactly 34% unsure. Even with a month left and despite Tillis' spending, this thing probably still goes to a runoff; the numbers aren't really budging much. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on April 08, 2014, 05:15:49 PM The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec. You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? ??? Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on April 08, 2014, 05:56:56 PM For the primary: Tillis-18% Brannon- 15% Harris- 11% Grant- 7% Alexander- 6% Bradshaw- 5% Snyder- 2% Kryn- 1% Unsure- 34% Again, SUSA also had exactly 34% unsure. Even with a month left and despite Tillis' spending, this thing probably still goes to a runoff; the numbers aren't really budging much. Any chance he loses the run-off? Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: LeBron on April 08, 2014, 06:43:24 PM The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec. You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? ??? Hopefully this does go to a runoff. As is, Kay Hagan has more than a 6 to 1 cash advantage on Tillis and this race tilts Democratic right now and the extra 2 1/2 months through May, June and early July would just further drain out Tillis of his cash right as we jump into another summer of fun with our friends in the legislature! It would be so funny if he did lose this runoff to Brannon. Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Deus Naturae on April 08, 2014, 07:22:20 PM Somehow, I doubt that any voter who is turned off by the GOP nominee because of their "cookiness" is going to opt for D'Annunzio or Waddell.
Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Miles on April 08, 2014, 07:47:50 PM Any chance he loses the run-off? A lot of far-right Republicans would easily line up behind a non-Tillis. That said, I'd say the chances of him losing the runoff are less than 50%, ATM. Somehow, I doubt that any voter who is turned off by the GOP nominee because of their "cookiness" is going to opt for D'Annunzio or Waddell. And this; more so for D'Annuzio though. Staying home would be more likely than voting third-party. Title: NC: Public Policy Polling: Hagan ahead of Tillis Post by: Miles on April 09, 2014, 02:27:00 AM New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-04-06 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220140406108)
Summary: D: 43%, R: 41%, U: 16% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_408.pdf) Title: Re: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary Post by: Sol on April 09, 2014, 08:07:12 PM The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec. You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? ??? More people know Tillis, and his exploits as leader of the NCGA, thus he lags behind. Brannon and co. are less well known, although they have even more liabilities, thus they poll as generic pubs. |