Title: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: ElectionsGuy on February 09, 2014, 06:21:17 PM I know someone did a thread similar to this a while back, but I'm going to expand it a bit. Vote Margins are dependent on three things:
1. Population 2. Turnout 3. % Margin The best combinations of the above 3 factors will result in bigger vote margins, although population is really more powerful than anything else. I'll be listing the top 50 counties in the country for both Obama and Romney to see what some of the most powerful and important counties in the country are election wise. I will not be listing % or actual votes, just the amount of votes for x candidate - votes for y candidate. Let me know if you want me to go beyond 50. Democrats: 1. Los Angeles, CA: D+1,331,570 Votes 2. Cook, IL: D+992,995 Votes 3. Philadelphia, PA: D+492,339 Votes 4. Kings, NY: D+479,892 Votes 5. New York, NY: D+413,115 Votes 6. King, WA: D+392,304 Votes 7. Wayne, MI: D+382,032 Votes 8. Alameda, CA: D+361,502 Votes 9. Queens, NY: D+352,143 Votes 10. Prince George's, MD: D+312,204 Votes 11. Bronx, NY: D+309,244 Votes 12. Santa Clara, CA: D+275,975 Votes 13. Broward, FL: D+264,211 Votes 14. Cuyahoga, OH: D+256,581 Votes 15. San Francisco, CA: D+254,647 Votes 16. District of Columbia: D+245,689 Votes 17. Miami-Dade, FL: D+208,459 Votes 18. Middlesex, MA: D+204,483 Votes 19. Montgomery, MD: D+200,047 Votes 20. Multnomah, OR: D+199,585 Votes 21. Baltimore (City), MD: D+193,307 Votes 22. Hennepin, MN: D+183,909 Votes 23. Milwaukee, WI: D+177,514 Votes 24. DeKalb, GA: D+173,832 Votes 25. Essex, NJ: D+170,216 Votes 26. Suffolk, MA: D+163,897 Votes 27. Contra Costa, CA: D+154,307 Votes 28. Denver, CO: D+148,907 Votes 29. San Mateo, CA: D+133,329 Votes 30. Dane, WI: D+132,427 Votes 31. Franklin, OH: D+130,349 Votes 32. Fulton, GA: D+118,346 Votes 33. Honolulu, HI: D+115,888 Votes 34. Hudson, NJ: D+110,584 Votes 35. Dallas, TX: D+109,758 Votes 36. Fairfax, VA: D+108,500 Votes 37. Palm Beach, FL: D+102,253 Votes 38. Hartford, CT: D+101,401 Votes 39. Clark, NV: D+100,883 Votes 40. Mecklenburg, NC: D+100,594 Votes 41. Sonoma, CA: D+99,158 Votes 42. Orleans, LA: D+98,719 Votes 43. Ramsey, MN: D+98,138 Votes 44. Sacramento, CA: D+97,989 Votes 45. Westchester, NY: D+97,663 Votes 46. Shelby, TN: D+96,794 Votes 47. St. Louis (City), MO: D+95,837 Votes 48. Travis, TX: D+92,636 Votes 49. Allegheny, PA: D+90,648 Votes 50. San Diego, CA: D+90,231 Votes Republicans: 1. Maricopa, AZ: R+147,597 Votes 2. Utah, UT: R+139,669 Votes 3. Montgomery, TX: R+105,049 Votes 4. Tarrant, TX: R+95,849 Votes 5. Collin, TX: R+95,473 Votes 6. Waukesha, WI: R+84,019 Votes ;) 7. Salt Lake, UT: R+77,664 Votes 8. Denton, TX: R+76,601 Votes 9. Davis, UT: R+74,972 Votes 10. Orange, CA: R+69,892 Votes 11. Tulsa, OK: R+62,318 Votes 12. El Paso, CO: R+59,133 Votes 13. St. Tammany, LA: R+58,995 Votes 14. Cherokee, GA: R+56,673 Votes 15. Greenville, SC: R+53,615 Votes 16. Shelby, AL: R+51,385 Votes 17. Forsyth, GA: R+51,337 Votes 18. Knox, TN: R+50,308 Votes 19. Johnson, KS: R+47,875 Votes 20. Baldwin, AL: R+47,592 Votes 21. Hamilton, IN: R+46,951 Votes 22. Okaloosa, FL: R+46,747 Votes 23. Ottawa, MI: R+45,429 Votes 24. Collier, FL: R+44,822 Votes 25. Williamson, TN: R+44,708 Votes 26. Clay, FL: R+44,263 Votes 27. Ocean, NJ: R+44,209 Votes 28. Lee, FL: R+44,006 Votes 29. Warren, OH: R+43,652 Votes 30. St. Johns, FL: R+43,323 Votes 31. Douglas, CO: R+43,303 Votes 32. Butler, OH: R+42,788 Votes 33. Oklahoma, OK: R+42,746 Votes 34. Lexington, SC: R+42,514 Votes 35. Lancaster, PA: R+42,188 Votes 36. Santa Rosa, FL: R+40,418 Votes 37. Westmoreland, PA: R+40,210 Votes 38. York, PA: R+40,113 Votes 39. St. Charles, MO: R+38,946 Votes 40. Cobb, GA: R+38,598 Votes 41. Livingston, LA: R+38,062 Votes 42. Lubbock, TX: R+37,198 Votes 43. Kern, CA: R+37,123 Votes 44. Brazoria, TX: R+36,441 Votes 45. Washington, UT: R+36,361 Votes 46. Brevard, FL: R+36,307 Votes 47. Smith, TX: R+35,875 Votes 48. Williamson, TX: R+35,131 Votes 49. Bay, FL: R+34,825 Votes 50. Sedgewick, KS: R+34,529 Votes Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: Joe Republic on February 09, 2014, 06:26:26 PM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :)
Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: ElectionsGuy on February 09, 2014, 06:33:59 PM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :) Yes, pretty pathetic. But what this list doesn't show is the massive accumulation of smaller GOP counties that add to their total. The dems have the biggest counties and a few rural northeastern or maybe black and Hispanic counties in the South and Southwest, but that's about it. Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: old timey villain on February 15, 2014, 10:08:21 PM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :) Yes, pretty pathetic. But what this list doesn't show is the massive accumulation of smaller GOP counties that add to their total. The dems have the biggest counties and a few rural northeastern or maybe black and Hispanic counties in the South and Southwest, but that's about it. that may be it, but it's enough to win decisively. And notice that a lot of those Obama counties are suburban, where most Americans live. Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 04, 2014, 06:57:39 AM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :) Yes, pretty pathetic. But what this list doesn't show is the massive accumulation of smaller GOP counties that add to their total. The dems have the biggest counties and a few rural northeastern or maybe black and Hispanic counties in the South and Southwest, but that's about it. that may be it, but it's enough to win decisively. And notice that a lot of those Obama counties are suburban, where most Americans live. So are most of the Romney counties. Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: Chaddyr23 on April 14, 2014, 06:38:07 PM Nice to see my hometown county had the 13th largest Obama margin
Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: jamesyons on June 19, 2014, 09:11:41 PM These big counties are the reason why Democrats have won the popular vote in every election since 1992 except 2004, because looking at the 1998 election which was relatively close, George H. W. Bush did much better in large suburban counties and if Republicans are going to win in 2016, they have to campaign a lot in these suburbs (Montgomery, Delaware, Bucks, in PA), (Oakland, Macomb, in MI), and (Arapahoe, Jefferson, in CO), and (Fairfax, Prince William, and Loudoun, in VA).
Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: minionofmidas on June 22, 2014, 07:13:54 AM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :) Yes, pretty pathetic. But what this list doesn't show is the massive accumulation of smaller GOP counties that add to their total. The dems have the biggest counties and a few rural northeastern or maybe black and Hispanic counties in the South and Southwest, but that's about it. Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: ElectionsGuy on June 22, 2014, 05:35:42 PM So there were twenty-eight counties with bigger margins for the Dems than the county with the biggest margin for the GOP. :) Yes, pretty pathetic. But what this list doesn't show is the massive accumulation of smaller GOP counties that add to their total. The dems have the biggest counties and a few rural northeastern or maybe black and Hispanic counties in the South and Southwest, but that's about it. 111, adding 61 all the way down until Berkshire, MA. Consider this though, all the Obama counties from Berkshire down to a margin of 20,000 is 29, all the Romney counties from Sedgewick to a margin of 20,000 is 81. Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: minionofmidas on June 23, 2014, 07:03:43 AM Presumably the point at which the R list starts growing faster than the D list is somewhere round about 40-42k then?
Title: Re: Biggest County Vote Margins of 2012 Post by: ElectionsGuy on June 26, 2014, 11:30:41 AM Presumably the point at which the R list starts growing faster than the D list is somewhere round about 40-42k then? Yeah, though its not so clear, it does look to be in between 45-35K. |