Talk Elections

There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush

No way Bush and Rubio both run.

Why not?

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Green: Hillary Clinton
That's why.

LOL

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush

I don't think it makes sense to count that Virginia poll, since it's a poll of all voters, not just GOP primary voters.  They're counting people who also gave an answer on the Democratic primary question in the poll.  I'd wait to see if they release the crosstabs, so you can see who the Republicans picked.

You can also add to the map this PPP poll of North Carolina from December which had Rubio in the lead:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/12/nc-gop-voters-prefer-foxx-for-senate.html

Odd Virginia poll, oh well.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush

Now that Paul's surged into second place in PPP's latest national poll (and a close third place in Quinnipiac), he's bound to be leading in some states.  Any guesses as to where he'd be leading right now, if PPP or someone else magically polled all 50 states tomorrow, where would Paul be ahead of Rubio, Christie, and the rest of the field?

I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west

Montana is pretty libertarian so he could be leading there and some other western states. Kentucky is an obvious one, but he could also potentially do well in the rest of the South, being a Southerner himself is a big boost.

Iowa will be interesting.  Ron Paul did very well in 2012, and Rand could potentially reach a wider audience within the Republican party.

Paul leads in Kentucky.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul

Well, Rubio's still ahead nationally, so Paul should only be leading in a minority of states.  Maybe Christie leads throughout the Northeast (+maybe California?), Paul leads in much of the West, and Rubio leads in most of the Midwest and South.  Paul of course leads in Kentucky, but not sure about the rest of Appalachia.  I guess PPP is polling Colorado next, and that should be interesting.  It's the first Western state they will have done (if you don't count Alaska).

Paul's favorability is slightly higher than Rubio's, so he may be taking over the national lead soon. With Rubio's unpopular immigration push, it may quicken the lead change.

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I feel like it will be something like this.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Maroon: Paul
Green: Ryan

Paul comes to a close second in most of the Southern states.  Christie makes a strong showing in Georgia.

Rubio is being slammed on immigration right now. I don't think he is going to last. Another neocon is going to have to step up, eventually.

PPP has Paul leading in New Hampshire, Christie is in third.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul

Cruz leads in Texas, Paul leads in Iowa, Rubio leads in New Hampshire.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

PPP has Rubio leading in VA.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

Paul leads in MI per PPP.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

Paul leads in Montana.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

I'm still wondering why PPP, or any national poller for that matter, has not polled California, because it has the most (or second most) republicans in the United States

Isn't the primary generally decided by the time it gets to California?

I would say so. It is usually more like Super Tuesday, if everything goes well, or Pennsylvania if the battle is more drawn out.

Virginia and Iowa both have ties.  Ryan leads in Wyoming...
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

Paul leads in Alaska, Wyoming, and New Hampshire.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

Christie back ahead in NH.
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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz

Why this map is not updated?

Because people like me and you have not bothered to update it. Nobody is getting paid to post here.

New update.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. Virginia: Bush-Christie.)

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

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20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

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20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

New update.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

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20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange:

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20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

New update.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

If this map is correct, it means that each candidate currently leads in this number of states:

Rand Paul: 9
Chris Christie: 7
Ted Cruz: 2
Jeb Bush: 1
Marco Rubio: 1
Scott Walker: 1

And those states they lead in, are equivalent to this number of citizens (2012 numbers):

Chris Christie: 45.7 million
Ted Cruz: 29 million
Rand Paul: 24.4 million
Jeb Bush: 19.3 million
Scott Walker: 5.7 million
Marco Rubio: 3.1 million (yet it is Iowa, after all)

Appears like Chris Christie is a heavy favourite right now then. With Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Jeb Bush seeming to be the only ones who can seriously challenge him, unless Marco Rubio really fixes a huge upset for himself in crucial Iowa. :P

Also, if Rubio does not run than I could see Bush receiving a majority of the vote that Rubio would have gotten.  This could place Bush to first in Iowa and possibly South Carolina. 

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

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Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

New update.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

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Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

New update.

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Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Walker
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
White: Tie (Ohio: Christie-Paul. )

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Ryan is Green, Paul is Yellow, Rubio is Orange, Ties are in White:

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Florida is Bush-Rubio tie, Ohio is Christie-Paul tie.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

()

Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

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Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

With Purple Strategies  having Romney leading... plan on making a color for him? (I hope not)

The Purple Strategies NH poll was conducted Jan. 21-23.  The UNH/WMUR NH poll was conducted Jan. 21-26.  So the latter (which has Paul in the lead) is more recent.

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Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

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Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

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Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

NC-PPP: Huckabee leads with 20% (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=187487.msg4052116;boardseen#new)

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Blue: Chris Christie
Dark yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
White: tie

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Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie

7 different leaders in 25 different states - I like it. :P

Yet looking at 4 of the first states to vote - Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida - it's looking like becoming a rat race between Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush, which would be fairly interesting.

Florida isn't one of the first states to vote anymore.  The order is most likely IA, NH, NV, SC.

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Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie

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Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Yellow: Jeb Bush
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
White: tie

Is Rand Paul beating Huckabee in Arkansas! I hope he is!!!

For reference, it should be noted that two polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown Mitt Romney leading the field in that state.  However, for obvious reasons, those polls should be excluded from these maps.

"No, no, no, no, no, no, no and no" doesn't mean the same as "I'd rather shoot myself". So I'd say he's still up for convincing. :P

Though I agree it's more likely that Jeb Bush will run. Even his mother is less certain of herself now. She said he's by far the best qualified to run for president. :P

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie


P.S.: I've changed Bush's color to red (important color), as Rubio is (currently) politically dead. Once he manages to resurrect his poll numbers, he can get the yellow label.

Based on three-poll averages where possible. Cruz is Red, Christie is Blue, Bush is Green, Paul is Yellow, Huckabee is Orange, Ties are in White:

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Wisconsin is a Ryan lead but I don't have a color left for him.

20% = lead of 1%
30% = lead of 2-3%
40% = lead of 4-5%
60% = lead of 6-9%
80% = lead of 10%+

()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie

()

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie

I thought it might be fun to add the delegates for each state and apply them to the potential candidate that is leading.  *I know many aren't all or nothing and many candidates won't run.

Jeb Bush (146) Florida - 98 South Carolina - 48

Chris Christie (429) Mississippi - 38 Illinois - 68 Michigan - 58 Pennsylvania - 71 Virginia - 49 New York - 95 New Jersey - 50

Rand Paul (143) Nebraska - 34 Arkansas - 38 Kentucky - 44 Wyoming - 27

Mike Huckabee (182) Kansas - 38 Iowa - 28 Louisiana - 45 North Carolina - 71

Ted Cruz (311) Arizona - 56 Colorado - 35 Montana - 26 Oklahoma - 41 Texas - 153

Paul Ryan (41) Wisconsin - 41

Ben Carson (37) Maryland - 37

Please change Mississippi from blue to red. :P

Okay...


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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Paul Ryan
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie

Magellan Strategies (R) polls for 10 states (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191700.0)

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

The Magellan poll of Iowa was taken April 14-15, and the Daily Caller poll (with Huckabee ahead) was taken April 22-24, so the latter is more recent:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=191652.0

Okay. Changed it.

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

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Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Golden: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Pink: Ted Cruz
Green: Scott Walker
Orange: Ben Carson
(Yellow: Marco Rubio)
White: tie or undecided

RealClearPolitics is now including 37 GOP primary polls going back to the very first post-election 2016 poll in December 2012. Those who have lead the most times in these 37 polls are:

Chris Christie: 12 polls
Rand Paul: 6 polls
Marco Rubio: 6 polls (all of them being the 6 very first polls after the 2012 election)
Mike Huckabee: 4 polls
Ted Cruz: 1 poll
Jeb Bush: 0 polls/not a single one

Tied polls: 8 polls

Those who have lead the tied polls the most times are:

Rand Paul: 4
Jeb Bush: 4
Mike Huckabee: 3
Chris Christie: 2
Paul Ryan: 2
Rick Perry: 1 (the very last of the 37)

Now, if we include both the polls where one candidate has been on top alone as well as the leaders of the tied polls, the victor list of those 37 polls looks like this:

Chris Christie: 14 polls (38%)
Rand Paul: 10 polls (27%)
Mike Huckabee: 7 polls (19%)
Marco Rubio: 6 polls (16%)
Jeb Bush: 4 polls (11%)
Paul Ryan: 2 polls (5.4%)
Ted Cruz: 1 poll (2.7%)
Rick Perry: 1 poll (2.7%)

Thus, it seems to be a battle between these 8 candidates right now. Neither Walker, Santorum (despite being the 2012 runner up/"obvious heir") nor Jindal have ever lead a single 2016 primary poll yet. Walker's best poll was scoring 8% in June. Santorum's best poll showed him with 6% in November 2013. Jindal's best number was 6% in an October 2013 poll.

Several updates:

Paul Ryan has announced he isn't running, so his color (green) has been reallocated to Mitt Romney.  

Since Rand Paul's color is rather close to Huckabee's, I've decided to lighten it to yellow (sorry Rubio!).

Lastly, we've got the first batch of polls from 2015.

- New Jersey Quinnipiac poll with Christie in a rather weak lead.
- Iowa Gravis poll with Romney in the lead.
- Pennsylvania PPP poll with Carson in the lead.

Why would you think that when all the national polls that include Romney give him a significant lead:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-gop-primary

The only reason why Romney isn't leading in most of the polls on this map is because the vast majority of these polls were taken before pollsters started including Romney in their matchups.

Which reminds me, this map is wrong.  Go to Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016) to find the polls, and you'll see that the most recent polls in AR, CO, KS, MA, MI, and NH all have Romney in the lead.  You just didn't color them that way initially because you were only including the matchups without Romney.  But I guess you're now including them?

I wasn't updating the map after late 2013, so it wasn't really me that didn't color them that way (though I probably would have made the same decision as the posters who were updating the thread at the time) .  I wasn't aware that Romney was in the polls in those states.  I'll edit the original post.

Gravis has Romney in leading in South Carolina. (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=206566.msg4467129;boardseen#new).

Romney now leads in the most recent polls for three of the four early primary states (and is there really any doubt that he's dominating in Nevada?).

So I guess now the Romney states have to be colored with the second place finisher?

That's probably what I'd expect in a Biden vs. Warren matchup...Warren winning IA and NH, but with Biden carrying SC due to loyalty among AAs for being Obama's VP. It would've been interesting to see how that would turn out (though Warren may not have run regardless of what Hillary did).

The one downside of Hillary already being the nominee is we get nothing to entertain us on the Dem side...luckily it's looking like the GOP primary will be entertaining enough to carry the extra weight.

Oregon Republicans are actually solid social conservatives. North Carolina I can't put my finger on.

I hardly think Carson counts as a "next best pick" to Cruz at this point, considering that Carson is ahead of Cruz in every recent state and national poll.  Cruz is far enough back in the pack that he's presumably trailing everywhere except Texas at this point.  The only reason why he's leading in six state polls in the map given in this thread is because those polls are all several months old.

Hi, ssuperflash. THX for your maps, they're really great.
But could you choose a different color for South Carolina / Graham?
I first didn't realize that that color isn't gray, but instead a very light purple.

And a legend would be convenient, too.

At this juncture, South Carolina should be colored red.

I second this. And if Santorum ever leads in a state, he should be brown.

This is btw what Atlas thinks the full map would look like at this juncture:


Delaware is the #1 State to watch.

Turning into:
Top tier: Walker - Bush
2nd Tier: Paul - Christie
3rd Tier: Cruz and the Huckster. 

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NC: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30415.pdf
GA: http://votergravity.com/georgia-presidential-flash-poll-results

Red: Jeb Bush
Green: Scott Walker
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Rand Paul
Brown: Mike Huckabee
Purple: John Kasich
Pink: Ted Cruz
Orange: Ben Carson

Voter Gravity isn't scientific, it shouldn't be included.

Please note: I have added Marco Rubio to the legend and allocated the color orange to him, as he is an oompa loompa. In return, I gave the crazy doctor the color maroon.

Shouldn't Iowa be Walker now?

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Jeb Bush: 10 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Marco Rubio: 2 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State

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Jeb Bush: 11 States
Rand Paul: 6 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Chris Christie: 4 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

Someone should put together a game of Risk using the above map as the starting positions.

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Jeb Bush: 12 States
Scott Walker: 6 States
Ted Cruz: 5 States
Rand Paul: 5 States
Mike Huckabee: 4 States
Chris Christie: 3 States
Ben Carson: 1 State
John Kasich: 1 State
George Pataki: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

Stop assuming that Ben Carson will win Maryland just because he's from there.

Kasich and Ohio, too. It's not that Kasich can't win OH, it's just that he'll drop out before the primary.

This is based on actual polls, Dan.

I find it amazing Rubio is not winning a single state yet I still deem him the most likely winner.

I think that the legend for "tied" and "no polls" needs to be flipped.

At this rate if Sanders ends of leading in a state or two another map will have to be created.

Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?

Isn't this the most recent SC poll?:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215011.0

It has Bush ahead there.

Yes, you are right. :)

Very interesting and confusing map. The only problem I have is that I picture Nevada going to Rand Paul, and I need to study with Republican candidate is popular in which state. Yes, times change and so do people, however I expect multiple caucuses and primaries to become bitter battle grounds.

Considering the huge Trump lead nationally right now, there are probably only a few home-state states left in which other candidates are leading ...

The map is pretty outdated though, using mostly old polls that do not take into account the recent Trump-surge.

Some candidate strength maps from post-recent Trump surge polling (7/30ish-now)

FIRST TIER (in 5% increments)

Trump:
()

SECOND TIER (in 3% increments)

Bush:
()

Walker:
()

Carson:
()

Cruz:
()

Huckabee:
()

THIRD TIER (In 2% increments)

Rubio:
()

Christie:
()

Kasich:
()

FOURTH TIER (In 1% increments)

Paul:
()

Fiorina:
()

Jindal:
()

Perry:
()

Graham:
()

Santorum:
()

Pataki:
()

WINNER (Normal scale, Trump blue, Walker green, Cruz yellow):
()

I guess we finally need a DEM map.

I'm pretty sure Sanders already leads in 4+ states (VT, NH, WA, OR) and maybe already in MN/WI and some others like MT.

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Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.

Does anybody have the numbers for South Dakota? I see it says Hillary ahead 30-49% on Wikipedia, but they don't have the poll anywhere in their list.

Montana wouldn't surprise me either. Warren did really well in that one poll from last year. I wonder if the Dakotas will be the same way.

Here's the last month's worth of "polling" (https://www.isidewith.com/map/tX7D/2016-republican-primary#z5) done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:

() (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2947_17_08_15_2_13_24.png)

These are the results I got this time (last time I did it was a few months ago):

1. Hillary - 93% (8 policy issues)
2. Bernie - 92% (7 policy issues)
3. O'Malley - 79% (4 policy issues)
4. Jeb Bush - 51%
5. Rand Paul - 46%
6. Chris Christie - 36% (environment)
7. Bobby Jindal - 30%
8. Trump - 24%
9. Fiorina - 21% (environment)
10. Kasich - 20%
11. Graham - 16%
12. Huckabee - 12%
13. Rubio - 11%
13. Perry - 11% (environment)
15. Walker - 10%
16. Carson - 7%
17. Santorum - 4%
18. Cruz - 1%

I side most with Hillary on: healthcare, education, economy, domestic & Foreign policy
I side most with Sanders on: social policy
I side most with O'Malley on: immigration
I side most with Christie on: environment

On the parties I got this:

1. Democratic - 98%
2. Green - 94%
3. Socialist - 81%
4. Libertarians - 28%
5. Republicans - 11%
6. Constitution - 5%

Ops, wrong thread I see lol. :P

That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.

()

Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton

#FeeltheBern #Bernmentum #50statestrategy

Here's ISideWith's Democratic primary map by congressional district. Pretty unquestionably slanted in favor of Sanders, I think, but still pretty accurate as a PVI-style map. Instead of using all results from the past month, I chose the option for the most 1,000 recent votes from each district solely because it shows more contrast.

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You would think Hillary would be leading in MO-1 considering it's giant African American population.    Silly internet polls.  :P

MO 01 for Sanders can be explained simply as Ferguson. Yes African Americans generally don't appreciate Sanders, but it is often cited it is because they are Democrats living in the real word looking for practical help, not a revolutionary candidate. Ferguson is not the real world. It was a militarized war zone in the middle of America. A revolution has taken place there. BLM was born there, and they have put out a platform mostly backed by Sanders. It's easy to take a monolithic voting group and extend it nationally, but when we see a deviation, it can help to find an explanation. I'm not saying this is certainly right, but it does make intuitive sense rather than dismissing it so quickly.

That being said, isidewith is a terrible measure of potential primary vote.

Delegates allocation:

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Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

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EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-22 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-35 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-35 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 78-8 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Updated with new numbers in ID, NH, and SC


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

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EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-35 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 49-38 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 54-24-9 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

I'm dying.

IA realizes how stupid honoring a dynasty is.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 53-13-6-5 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 41-40 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 49-38 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 54-24-9 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

New Numbers in IA, NH, SC, CA


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 52-20 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 52-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Adding the FL Gravis Poll


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 42-21-13 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 52-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton
[/quote]

Clinton gains in FL and NH


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 43-36 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 36-29 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Wulfric, those maps include polls that are really old. Could you make a map just with polls of, say, just the past 1-2 months to get a better picture?

The Republican map uses some polls that are pretty old (Off the top of my head, the ones showing Carson up in MD and Christie up in ME) as well. I can put an asterisk or something next to the old polls , but I'd rather have a map with as much data as possible than a mostly blank map with only recent polls.

New VT/NH polls


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 55-15 Clinton
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 50-30 Clinton
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

MO and NY tighten, UT rejects the democratic dynasty complex.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-33 Sanders
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Clinton jumps to a 21 point lead in IA.


Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 35-31 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-15 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

I started this a few days ago, but never got around to posting it. Tonight, I updated the map with the latest polling available. I wanted to do this because initially, I suspected that based on what we've seen in cross-tabs in many polls, that there would be a substantial difference in how the white vote for each candidate looked when compared to the overall primary polls.

Where applicable, the numbers shown are derived from aggregate polling. 15% in polling is the threshold for a candidate to appear.

There isn't a uniform method here for calculations, given the fact that every poll differs in the amount of information provided:

• In some cases, I have analyzed cross-tabs and found them to be inaccurate in terms of the share of the electorate when compared to the GE makeup of that state's electorate (http://i.imgur.com/dolWh3v.png); as such, I've adjusted the numbers in these cases accordingly to more accurately reflect a presidential year primary make-up (assuming that the white share of the vote in all cases will be a slightly higher percentage in a primary than in the GE).
• Some polls do not provide sufficient cross-tabs with respect to turnout by race, in which case, I use the map linked above as a baseline for determining the make-up the likely primary electorate.
• Some polls may provide basic stats on the racial sampling of the polling, but may not provide breakdowns of each race's percentage of support for each candidate. In these cases, I used relevant polling data from other states and from national polls to project what the likely support by race is for each candidate in that state.

In all of these cases, once the preliminary figures are calculated, it becomes rather easy to calculate the likely white share of support for each candidate.

---

The first map in each series shows the percentage of support (color-coded) for the winning candidate in each state, as well as the results from one or more recent polls for other candidates who have at least 15% support in each state.

The second map shows the margin between the first place and second place candidate in each state.

9/18/15:

()

9/22/15:

()

9/23/15: TX poll added (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219768.0)

()

Assumes Democratic primary electorate will be 39% White, 36% Black, 25% Latino; assumes Clinton is pulling 65% among Blacks and that Latino support for Clinton/Biden matches statewide support levels

Your last map seems to have removed the 9/22 states (e.g., Utah, Missouri...).

Crap - I edited the wrong one. Fixed.

The Elon NC poll has Hillary winning whites 45-34 over Sanders. No Biden, though.

New polls for NH and TX

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 55-19 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

That's quite helpful. It's very interesting to see how well that tracks with my Georgia and Texas projections, and to a lesser extent, my SC & FL ones as well - it gives me a bit more confidence that I am doing an adequate job with my projections (at least within the confines of the quality of polling). Clinton certainly isn't doing all that well with white voters in the Deep South.

---

I've updated my map format so that I can more easily fit the stats within the confines of most states.

9/24/15: NC (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219790.0) & NH (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219815.0) polls added

()

Wonder why Hillary is doing so badly w/ white voters, it's not just among Democrats but with the general electorate as well she's doing far worse than Obama ever did.

1st place:

()

2nd place:

()

()

In states where Walker was leading (MN, WA, WI), the 2nd of that state is now the 1st. The 3rd is now the 2nd.

North Carolina tightens

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-23 Clinton
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Clinton struggling in NC!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Clinton struggling in MI! Biden really should get in.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 53-21 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 44-32 Clinton

Even TX isn't in love with the democratic dynasty complex!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 43-22 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 46-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

New polls in IA and NH, first poll ever in LA

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 72-9-6-3 Clinton/Biden/O'Malley/Warren
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

10/5/15: Added first polls for WI & LA; new TX & SC polls correct seemingly unrealistically-high Sanders performance from previous polls; Clinton closes the gap a bit in NH; Biden breaks 15% in IA & Clinton/Sanders IA margin remains the same

()

Clinton leads by only 20 points in minority dominated Maryland!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 42-26 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 55-18 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 47-17 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 45-19 Clinton
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

New polls in FL, PA, OH, CA. Clinton is collapsing!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 42-28 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Your comments to polls are very objective, not partisan. :P

pbrower should take note: include every poll, just make it's significance conform to your narrative.

Which New Jersey poll are you referring to?

I think he's looking at FDU's national poll.

Gah. I saw Farleigh Dickinson and immediately thought NJ. Post deleted.

One of my friends off-site has been tracking the polls in each state and keeping track of the pledged delegate totals based on the current DNC allocation method and (obviously) the current polls. He asked me to make a map of it, so I thought I'd share. Here is a Google Fusion Tables map that shows the details state-by-state (click on a state for more info; red translucent states are those for which we have no data).

Clinton recovering in NH?

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 55-18 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 46-23 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Doubt it (Gravis)

If it's close, in NH then the primary is theoretical over. Because Bernie has no other state other than Vt & NH. Why wouldn't Clinton win in NH, she won it in 2008, and state delegation are women.

Obama didn't excite white liberals, who dominate the NH primary, in the Same way Sanders does.

Clinton is a Shaheen Democrat and she has endorsed Clinton already. CLINTON must win NH to close out nomination before Trump.

I think you got Shaheen and Clinton mixed up :P

What's with Sanders leading in Utah?

Vt & UT seems to be only states he's leading.

Utah just has a strong hatred for all things Clinton, Billy didn't even get 2nd place when he first ran in '92.

That's strange. I should ask my distant mormon relatives the next time I see them if there's a religious reason for this.

Clinton's lead going down in NV & VA! Gaining Ground in SC :(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-23-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Clinton continues to drop in Maryland!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 53-15-8-2 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

By the way, here's a preview of what that map will look like if/when Biden declares he's not running. A couple of states don't have Biden-less data, so I either didn't include those states if he had large numbers, or simply kept the same colors if it didn't look like it made much of a difference.

()

Clinton Collapsing in Connecticut!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 44-24 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 33-30 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 36-25-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Most recent month's worth of iSideWith.com "polling"

() (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2947_13_10_15_12_19_45.png)

Trump maintains his bases of strength in southwestern suburbs (LA, Las Vegas, Phoenix), the northeast (especially the New York suburbs), and in some Midwestern suburbs (Chicago, Detroit) but not others (Milwaukee). Fiorina makes an appearance, and Rubio wins several CDs in south Florida, the Beltway, and Santa Monica/west LA County.

LOL @Bush not carrying a single CD in FL.

New Numbers in NJ. ID is a close race. Clinton regains lead in NH. First poll of Maine shows Sanders Ahead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 37-35 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

1.4% Within the margin of error spread between the two candidates should not be a lead when averaged with all the other huge leads.


Have you seen his poll numbers recently?

This is just a map of the latest polls in each state. Not an average.

Sanders regains lead in NH!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 38-30 Sanders
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Clinton regains lead in NH :( :( :(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 43-16-10-6 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 41-33 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

Clinton has a huge lead in the first MA poll since March

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  56-34 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 40-31 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 37-25 Clinton
FL - 43-19 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 33-28 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MI - 35-28-22 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 36-22-18 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 50-34 Clinton
NH - 41-33 Clinton
NJ - 49-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 37-30-17 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 40-22 Clinton
SC - 49-24 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 48-11 Sanders
VA - 40-23 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 42-30 Clinton

With Biden out, the map now reverts to the most recent Biden-less poll. States with no Biden-less data will be kept as they were in the last update.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 47-36 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 45-35 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 51-23 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 70-20 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

A much better map for Clinton than before :( :(

Sanders surges ahead in NH, first poll of Oklahoma shows a close race!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 51-23 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Updated with new PPP NC Poll

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 40-21-19 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 36-24 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Clinton dominating in TX :(:(

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 48-26 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Without Biden, this is quickly  becoming uncompetitive. Clinton leading by over 30 points in PA.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 51-24 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Georgia locking in for Clinton.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 64-21 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 46-43 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 54-39 Sanders
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

If these Iowa polls are true, Sanders appears doomed.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 57-25 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Iowa getting less dismal for Sanders

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 47-35 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 61-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

California continuing to be one of Clinton's weaker states.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 63-15 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 68-25 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

First poll of Tennessee shows a 28 point Clinton lead.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 38-36 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 59-10 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Any chance we could switch this to the GOP? The Dem map basically shows a race in upper New England and that weird (probably outlier or at least changed as Sanders has slowly deflated nationally) Utah poll. Dullsville.

I don't think we need to have one or the other.  If Wulfric wants to keep posting the Dem. map, cool.  But if someone else wants to post the GOP map, go for it.

Not bothering with shading, but I did a map of who is leading on the GOP side in the most recent poll in each state. No polling yet from D.C. or Hawaii. The Kentucky poll is fairly old.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State

When did we get GOP primary polls in states like Indiana and Vermont?

Indiana was polled by Ipsos in September. Vermont was polled by Castleton Polling Institute, also in September. 

New University of Texas poll shows Cruz and Trump tied in the Senator's home state.

()
Donald Trump: 35 States
Ben Carson: 12 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 37-17 Trump
GA 35-28 Trump
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Biden-less ID = Clinton Surge

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 59-21-8-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 64-14 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New poll from Opinion Savvy shows Carson leading in Georgia, and close in Florida.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 18-16 Trump
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Trump:
()
30% Shading: under 10%
40% Shading: 10 - 14%
50% Shading: 15 - 19%
60% Shading: 20 - 24%
70% Shading: 25 - 29
80% Shading: 30 - 34%
90% Shading: 35%+

Carson's numbers have fallen off a cliff in New Hampshire, if Gravis is to be believed.

()
Donald Trump: 34 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 23-17 Trump
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Carson takes the lead in Virginia, as per the latest UMW poll.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 22-13 Trump
CT 34-14 Trump
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 23-22 Trump
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 29-12 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-16 Trump
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Latest iSideWith.com update with Carson in blue and Rubio in green

()

Hillary with a surprisingly large lead in Colorado. Heading in wrong direction in VA though!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-24 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 56-23 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New NH numbers from WBUR; Carson and Rubio top two in CO, as per Quinnipiac; FDU shows sizable Trump lead in NJ; Trump leading Rubio two-to-one in the Senator's home state, as per FAU; Emerson College shows Trump leading in CT, Rubio in second.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 35-24 Trump
NH 23-13-13 Trump-Carson-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 25-21 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Clinton continuing to Crush her opponents in FL and NJ.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 47-29 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 58-36 Clinton
NH - 48-45 Clinton
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 69-21 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New Morning Consult numbers for all four early states.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 26-24 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

CT: Clinton +19 via Emerson
NH: Sanders +1 via Fox
NV: Clinton +29 via Morning Consult
IA: Clinton +18 via Morning Consult
SC: Clinton +44 via Morning Consult

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  58-16 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New Wisconsin numbers, courtesy of Marquette.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 34-22 Carson
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Clinton heading in wrong direction in Arizona!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 30-21 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Clinton strong in Oklahoma

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 55-37 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 45-44 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 64-20 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New Dan Jones poll out of Utah.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 29-17 Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 33-15 Trump
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 27-25 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Trump way ahead in Iowa/New Hampshire/South Carolina, as per YouGov.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 30-21 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 48-14 Trump
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Yougov: Sanders leading in NH, Iowa competitive, but Clinton above 70% in SC.

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-44 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 59-25 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

New numbers in Iowa (Quinnipiac), Massachusetts (Suffolk).

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 20-15 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Clinton lead shrinking in MA!

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 50-44 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 43-26-20 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Trump gaining on Carson in Maryland, as per The Baltimore Sun.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-13 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

IA: Clinton +9
MD: Clinton +33

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 52-45 Sanders
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 44-16 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Update:

()

PPP polls New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 35-15 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Narrow Trump lead in Tennessee, as per Vanderbilt University.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 25-23 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

NH: Clinton +2
TN: Clinton +20

Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Green - Sanders lead

Gray - No Polls

()


EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
AR - 71-8-5-3 Clinton/Biden/Cuomo/Warren
CA - 48-32 Clinton
CO - 55-27 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 66-22 Clinton
GA - 73-16 Clinton
ID - 55-35 Clinton
IL - 60-23 Clinton
IA - 51-42 Clinton
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 28-27 Sanders
MD - 56-23 Clinton
MA - 54-29 Clinton
MI - 57-25 Clinton
MN - 50-32 Clinton
MO - 53-25 Clinton
MT - 42-34-6-3 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Webb
NV - 59-30 Clinton
NH - 44-42 Clinton
NJ - 64-27 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 57-24 Clinton
OH - 59-37 Clinton
OK - 47-12 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 52-18 Clinton
SC - 72-25 Clinton
TN - 48-28 Clinton
TX - 61-30 Clinton
UT - 31-30 Sanders
VT - 65-14 Sanders
VA - 58-32 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 47-42 Clinton

Cruz takes the lead in Iowa, per Monmouth.

()
Donald Trump: 31 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Well, scratch that; CNN shows The Donald ahead by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 15 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 33-20 Trump-Cruz
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 31-19 Carson
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

So even though the Monmouth poll was in the field slightly later, you count the CNN poll instead?

I overlooked that detail; if you would prefer that I count the Monmouth poll, I will do so. In any case, more Iowa polls will surely be out presently, and we will be able to see which of today's two polls is the outlier.

New PPP poll shows Trump open up two-to-one lead in NC; Carson plummets to a third place tie with Rubio. In the interest of having my map display the most up-to-date information available, I use this opportunity to replace the CNN Iowa poll with the Monmouth poll, in light of Mr. Morden's observation regarding the timeframe during which the two polls were conducted.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-13 Trump-Cruz
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Carson in complete collapse on iSideWith:

()

New CNN/WMUR poll out of New Hampshire.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 36-18 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-19 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Here's the above map with Atlas shading:

()

I couldn't figure out how to give Vermont 10% shading without it just looking like a tie, so I gave Trump the 20% shading.

Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

That's why you should use an average, not just the latest poll.

And here's the map for the Democrats:

()


I'm just using the numbers on this page.

Well, as I previously noted, Iowa polls aren't scarce, so we'll find out soon which of CNN and Monmouth more accurately reflects the current situation.

New Florida numbers, courtesy of Saint Leo University; Fox News polls South Carolina.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 31-18 Trump-Rubio
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

We need a new poll in Kentucky, I doubt Rand still leads there.

Frankly, I feel the same way about a lot of the states that Carson was leading in one or two months ago.

New Rutgers poll out of New Jersey.

()
Donald Trump: 32 States
Ben Carson: 14 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 26-24 Carson
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 35-14 Trump
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 32-14 Trump-Rubio
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

I know that it's from isidewith, but where do you get the data from? I couldn't find it (maybe it isn't on the mobile site).

https://www.isidewith.com/map/A4zD/2016-republican-primary#z5 (https://www.isidewith.com/map/A4zD/2016-republican-primary#z5)

It gets updated fairly frequently.

New WMUR poll shows Trump way ahead, Christie in second in the Granite State; Bellwether Research polls Indiana; Landmark finds yuuge Trump lead in Georgia.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 24-19 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

New Bloomberg/DMR poll shows ten-point Cruz lead in Iowa.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 31-21 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

New Fox News Iowa poll released today.

()
Donald Trump: 33 States
Ben Carson: 13 States
Ted Cruz: 1 State
Rand Paul: 1 State
Tie: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS. Trump and Carson top two unless otherwise noted.

AL 38-17 Trump
AK 32-26 Carson
AR 26-21 Trump-Huckabee
AZ 23-21 Carson
CA 20-19 Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump
FL 31-15 Trump-Rubio
GA 43-16 Trump-Cruz
ID 29-23 Carson
IL 27-18 Trump
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-26 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson
ME 33-23 Trump
MD 27-23 Carson
MA 32-18 Trump-Rubio
MI 24-22 Carson
MN 26-19 Trump
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 23-11 Trump
MT 33-28 Carson
NE 32-27 Carson
NV 38-18 Trump
NH 27-12 Trump-Christie
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump
NY 39-16 Trump
NC 33-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump
OH 27-22 Trump
OK 25-19 Carson
OR 31-30 Trump
PA 23-22 Trump
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump
SD 31-29 Trump
TN 29-25 Trump
TX 27-27 Cruz-Trump
UT 30-14 Carson-Cruz
VT 15-14 Trump
VA 27-25 Carson
WA 28-27 Trump
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 22-19 Carson
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz