Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: a83192 on March 04, 2013, 02:49:34 PM



Title: ocean county nj swing
Post by: a83192 on March 04, 2013, 02:49:34 PM
Did Ocean County NJ swing to Obama because of low turnout due to the storm or because of whites warming to him because of his dealing of the storm?


Title: Re: ocean county nj swing
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 04, 2013, 03:03:52 PM
The latter.


Title: Re: ocean county nj swing
Post by: memphis on March 04, 2013, 03:25:18 PM
I would also suspect that the people with the most damaged property were the richers who live right on the shore. They would be the most Republican group and the least likely to turnout.


Title: Re: ocean county nj swing
Post by: Siloch on March 04, 2013, 03:44:30 PM
2008
Rep - 160,677 (58.43%)
Dem - 110,189 (40.07%)

2012
Rep - 146,474 (58.16%)
Dem - 102,300 (40.62%)

There really wasn't that much of a change, it looks like Sandy made very little difference at all. Voter turnout fell from 2008 (which happened in nearly every state that was not a swing state).


Title: Re: ocean county nj swing
Post by: nclib on March 04, 2013, 08:40:23 PM
Ocean NJ is also a 9/11 county, having a huge GOP swing in 2004.