Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: DrScholl on February 13, 2013, 12:52:48 PM



Title: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: DrScholl on February 13, 2013, 12:52:48 PM
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=post;board=95.0

Landrieu 46
Dardenne 43

Landrieu 49
Jindal 41

Landrieu 48
Boustany 42

Landrieu 48
Landry 39

Landrieu 48
Scalise 38

Landrieu 50
Cassidy 40

Landrieu 50
Fleming 38


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: RogueBeaver on February 13, 2013, 12:59:58 PM
Cycle's barely started. But yeah, Landrieu's would be ouster requires the pincer blitzkrieg.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on February 13, 2013, 01:19:32 PM

That's surprising.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: RogueBeaver on February 13, 2013, 01:21:14 PM

Considering his approval rating is -20... maybe Miles can enlighten us on that one.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Incipimus iterum on February 13, 2013, 01:21:57 PM
Its too Early to tell but its good news.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on February 13, 2013, 01:23:34 PM

Considering his approval rating is -20... maybe Miles can enlighten us on that one.

From 65% of the vote in the last election to that?  Geez.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Keystone Phil on February 13, 2013, 01:33:26 PM
Yeah, what the hell happened to Jindal?


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: pbrower2a on February 13, 2013, 01:40:25 PM
So much for the idea that Mary Landrieu is vulnerable. If she has 47% approval at the same time next year, she has about a 75% or so chance of winning re-election. The typical gain from approval to vote share is about 6%  for the usual incumbent Governor or Senator.

...this may not be germane to the election of 2014, but it would seem that more people seem to forget that they voted for Mitt Romney than for Barack Obama:

Q16 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

Barack Obama................................................ 40%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 54%
Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 5%

The state split roughly 57.5-40.5 between them in 2012.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on February 13, 2013, 01:42:04 PM


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Miles on February 13, 2013, 02:39:57 PM
I'll take it!


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Miles on February 13, 2013, 02:41:38 PM

Probably his tax proposal, higher education cuts, or some combination thereof.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: RogueBeaver on February 13, 2013, 02:47:37 PM
Is that really -20 material? Last poll I saw had him nearly even.

Anyhoo, back to Landrieu: Pubs have some major work ahead.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Niemeyerite on February 13, 2013, 02:52:50 PM
Great news! I thought Jindal was popular and Landrieu was unpopular.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Miles on February 13, 2013, 03:06:45 PM
The intra-party Republican fighting between Jindal and the legislators has gotten worse in his second term, as well.

Its odd that Landry fares better than Cassidy, but that race in LA-03 was pretty high-profile, so Landry has higher name rec.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Miles on February 13, 2013, 03:42:18 PM
I should probably also say that, logistically, this wasn't the best time to poll here, as much of Greater NOLA was out at Mardi Gras. Still, probably a minor issue.


Title: Re: LA-PPP: Landrieu leads all
Post by: Maxwell on February 13, 2013, 04:11:25 PM
Dardene should run then!

I wasn't too surprised that Landrieu leads, considering I think she's earned some good will with the voters of Louisiana by staying true to her blue dog tendencies, which is a better fit for the state than a hardcore conservative.


Title: : Public Policy Polling: Landrieu Leads Potential Republican Challengers
Post by: ElectionAtlas on March 14, 2013, 01:28:48 PM
New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2013-02-12 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=22220130212108)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 40%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_LA_213.pdf)