Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: Tender Branson on January 04, 2013, 04:19:33 pm



Title: Democratic registration outnumbered the GOP by 12 points in 2012
Post by: Tender Branson on January 04, 2013, 04:19:33 pm
43,512,746 DEM - 41.9%
31,298,863 GOP - 30.1%
26,808,810 IND - 25.8%
  2,348,236 OTH - 2.2%

http://www.ballot-access.org/2013/01/04/december-2012-ballot-access-news-print-edition

States with registration numbers:

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How likely is it that there are actually more Republicans in the US with these states missing ?


Title: Re: Democratic registration outnumbered the GOP by 12 points in 2012
Post by: minionofmidas - supplemental forum account on January 05, 2013, 08:08:00 am
How likely is it that there are actually more Republicans in the US with these states missing ?
That questions runs into definitional issues fast. It makes limited sense to use self-identification for some states but official registration status for others.


Title: Re: Democratic registration outnumbered the GOP by 12 points in 2012
Post by: True Federalist on January 05, 2013, 01:17:30 pm
How likely is it that there are actually more Republicans in the US with these states missing ?

Definitely the gap would be smaller.  After all, if only the States that do not keep track of registration has been able to vote for President, then Romney would have won the electoral college by a margin of 122-106.  There's also a good chance he won the popular vote there as well, but I don't feel like doing that math myself.


Title: Re: Democratic registration outnumbered the GOP by 12 points in 2012
Post by: Snowstalker's Last Stand on January 05, 2013, 02:01:08 pm
Fairly certain Romney won the PV in the outstanding states.


Title: Re: Democratic registration outnumbered the GOP by 12 points in 2012
Post by: Lief 🐋 on January 05, 2013, 02:07:48 pm
skewed