Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: jman123 on December 30, 2012, 02:10:06 PM



Title: Bergen County NJ swing
Post by: jman123 on December 30, 2012, 02:10:06 PM
http://www.michaelmerzel.com/sitebuilder/images/Bergen_County_Map-450x578.png

  The towns around North Arlington in the map above went for Mccain in 08. But in November they went Obama. What happened in NE NJ?


Title: Re: Bergen County NJ swing
Post by: traininthedistance on December 30, 2012, 02:52:49 PM
http://www.michaelmerzel.com/sitebuilder/images/Bergen_County_Map-450x578.png

  The towns around North Arlington in the map above went for Mccain in 08. But in November they went Obama. What happened in NE NJ?

1: Increasing Hispanic population in the older suburbs
2: Sandy


Title: Re: Bergen County NJ swing
Post by: Benj on December 30, 2012, 03:27:41 PM
The swing was also pretty small; SW Bergen is very marginal. We often think of the shift from 51% R to 51% D as if it were more significant than any other shift of 2% of the vote elsewhere on the spectrum.

At a glance, I think the biggest swing was in Palisades Park, which went from just under 60% Obama in 2008 to about 67% Obama this year. Palisades Park is also the most heavily Asian town in Bergen County (Korean, almost entirely). It does look like there were huge swings in the Asian-heavy areas in SE Bergen and to a lesser extent in the Northern Valley.

If someone supplied me with a base map, I'd do a precinct-by-precinct or town map of Bergen County.