Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: trebor204 on November 11, 2012, 06:51:22 PM



Title: Chicago - Precinct Data
Post by: trebor204 on November 11, 2012, 06:51:22 PM


Precinct Level Data (total of 2034 precincts)
http://www.chicagoelections.com/wdlevel3.asp?elec_code=19

Obama wons 24 precincts with 100% support. One precinct with 549 votes
70 precincts with all but 1 vote
85 precincts with all but 2 votes

191 precincts with over 99.5%
432 precincts with over 99%
851 precincts with over 90%


Romney won 39 precincts
Romney greatest win was 68.41% in Ward 19-3 (South of St Xavier University, SW Corner of City)

Romney did well in Wards 19 (SW Corner of Chicago) and Ward 50 (NE Corner of Chicago)

http://www.chicagoelections.com/dm/general/document_3685.pdf


Title: Re: Chicago - Precinct Data
Post by: mileslunn on November 18, 2012, 10:00:06 PM
I know Obama won big amongst African-Americans, but I am quite surprised to see he got 100% in some precincts as I believe around 6% of African-Americans and over 10% amongst African-American males voted for Romney.  Or could it be the African-Americans who voted for Romney are the more well off ones who live in the suburbs where their numbers are much smaller so tough to gage how they vote?


Title: Re: Chicago - Precinct Data
Post by: pa2011 on November 19, 2012, 03:07:46 PM
I really question that Romney ended up winning 10 percent of African-American males.. There comes a point where Exit Polls can't be taken literally cause, like all polls, there are margins of error.


Title: Re: Chicago - Precinct Data
Post by: Jackson on November 19, 2012, 04:54:02 PM
Most of the African Americans that Romney won probably live in rural areas.


Title: Re: Chicago - Precinct Data
Post by: mileslunn on November 19, 2012, 08:40:31 PM
Most of the African Americans that Romney won probably live in rural areas.

That makes some sense, at least outside the South as the heavily African-American counties there voted massively for Obama.  I would also add the affluent suburban ones, otherwise those with household incomes over $100,000 and reside in the wealthy neighborhoods or suburbs. 

It is true many working class whites vote Democrat, but many are also in smaller urban centres as opposed to large metropolitan ones and likewise many respond the populist appeal of the GOP while this repels a lot of the African-Americans as many of the populists have racial overtones.