Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 09, 2012, 01:06:13 PM



Title: Franklin County, KY
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on November 09, 2012, 01:06:13 PM
Although Obama got decimated in coal country (barely holding onto even the super-Democratic Eliot), he actually picked up Franklin, which contains the capital city of Frankfort. Any Kentuckians have ground information on trends here?


Title: Re: Franklin County, KY
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 09, 2012, 07:33:11 PM
Although Obama got decimated in coal country (barely holding onto even the super-Democratic Eliot), he actually picked up Franklin, which contains the capital city of Frankfort. Any Kentuckians have ground information on trends here?

This one is simple: It's urban and it's a state capital. (Obama overperformed in state capitals this year.)


Title: Re: Franklin County, KY
Post by: nclib on November 10, 2012, 08:15:28 PM
I don't think Franklin is really urban (though maybe for Kentucky), though there may be a bit of overperformance in state capitals:

Red = swing Obama
Green = swing Romney, trend Obama
Blue = swing/trend Romney

(Image Link)


Title: Re: Franklin County, KY
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 10, 2012, 11:22:59 PM
I wonder why Obama did so well in state capitals this time. The main reason I can think of is the Republicans' attacks on state workers.


Title: Re: Franklin County, KY
Post by: mileslunn on November 18, 2012, 10:01:51 PM
My guess is it has to do with a state capital as they have a high number of civil servants and likewise a higher rate of unionization.  Could be wrong but it might be a backlash to the GOP anti-union stances.  Off course I think the GOP anti-union stances probably helped them more than hurt on a whole, but they would have gained from this more in the suburban areas and smaller towns, while hurt in the large urban centres.


Title: Re: Franklin County, KY
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on November 19, 2012, 01:29:23 AM
Ahem....
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Granted I blew the coal country (including in the west) but I did catch this one!