Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Past Election What-ifs (US) => Topic started by: Bo on February 08, 2010, 07:39:14 PM



Title: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Bo on February 08, 2010, 07:39:14 PM
Everything else stays the same.

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Clinton/Obama-434 EV
Giuliani/Thune-104 EV


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune
Post by: Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl on February 08, 2010, 09:30:10 PM
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299-239


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune
Post by: Bo on February 08, 2010, 09:37:40 PM

Please explain. And yes, I was talking about 2008, which shouldn't have been too hard to figure out.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune
Post by: Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl on February 08, 2010, 11:21:56 PM

Please explain. And yes, I was talking about 2008, which shouldn't have been too hard to figure out.

Giuliani holds onto the suburbs with his moderate social positions and law-and-order stances. Thune keeps the evangelical vote in the South and doesn't embarrass the ticket ala Sarah Palin.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Bo on February 08, 2010, 11:30:38 PM

Please explain. And yes, I was talking about 2008, which shouldn't have been too hard to figure out.

Giuliani holds onto the suburbs with his moderate social positions and law-and-order stances. Thune keeps the evangelical vote in the South and doesn't embarrass the ticket ala Sarah Palin.

Hack map nonetheless. Hillary would easily defeat Giuliani by tying him to the unpopular President Bush, while emphasizing that she will give the country the prosperity and international prestige that her husband delivered in the 1990s. Also, Giuliani loses many base voters since they are uncomfortable with his social liberalism (and Thune doesn't help too much since most people vote for the top of the ticket, not the bottom). Meanwhile, the prospect of electing a woman President and a black VP energizes many Democratic base voters, and Bush's unpopularity delivers many moderate and even some conservative voters to Hillary.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl on February 08, 2010, 11:51:30 PM

Please explain. And yes, I was talking about 2008, which shouldn't have been too hard to figure out.

Giuliani holds onto the suburbs with his moderate social positions and law-and-order stances. Thune keeps the evangelical vote in the South and doesn't embarrass the ticket ala Sarah Palin.

Hack map nonetheless. Hillary would easily defeat Giuliani by tying him to the unpopular President Bush, while emphasizing that she will give the country the prosperity and international prestige that her husband delivered in the 1990s. Also, Giuliani loses many base voters since they are uncomfortable with his social liberalism (and Thune doesn't help too much since most people vote for the top of the ticket, not the bottom). Meanwhile, the prospect of electing a woman President and a black VP energizes many Democratic base voters, and Bush's unpopularity delivers many moderate and even some conservative voters to Hillary.

Even with Obama on the bottom of the ticket, Hillary's stealing of the nomination will already depress the black vote and demoralize the "progressive" base.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Bo on February 08, 2010, 11:53:03 PM

Please explain. And yes, I was talking about 2008, which shouldn't have been too hard to figure out.

Giuliani holds onto the suburbs with his moderate social positions and law-and-order stances. Thune keeps the evangelical vote in the South and doesn't embarrass the ticket ala Sarah Palin.

Hack map nonetheless. Hillary would easily defeat Giuliani by tying him to the unpopular President Bush, while emphasizing that she will give the country the prosperity and international prestige that her husband delivered in the 1990s. Also, Giuliani loses many base voters since they are uncomfortable with his social liberalism (and Thune doesn't help too much since most people vote for the top of the ticket, not the bottom). Meanwhile, the prospect of electing a woman President and a black VP energizes many Democratic base voters, and Bush's unpopularity delivers many moderate and even some conservative voters to Hillary.

Even with Obama on the bottom of the ticket, Hillary's stealing of the nomination will already depress the black vote and demoralize the "progressive" base.

I never said she stole the nomination in this scenario--I just said she was nominated.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: HappyWarrior on February 09, 2010, 03:26:53 PM
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Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: hcallega on February 10, 2010, 11:02:44 PM

Yup. Maybe switch Nevada or New Mexico,and widen Montana. But otherwise spot on. She dosen't make the inroads in the New South or west, but does bettter in the Rust Belt


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 12, 2010, 07:44:22 PM
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Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: Bo on February 12, 2010, 09:11:10 PM

Give Hillary MT, MO, IN, VA, NC, GA, AZ, and FL and I would agree with you.


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: HappyWarrior on February 13, 2010, 02:07:13 PM

That is a bit much, Hillary was not going to win any of those states except maybe FL, MO, and if she crushed the other side maybe VA


Title: Re: Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama vs. Rudy Giuliani/John Thune 2008
Post by: justW353 on February 19, 2010, 04:51:24 PM
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