McCain cannot win unless

[Lief 🗽]

I know four weeks is an eternity but really barring a miracle McCain has no chance.

Um... Carter won.

[Lief 🗽]

You missed the point obviously.

I must have. In the graph you posted, the polls went form Carter +6 four weeks before the election to Ford +1 right before the election. Carter ended up winning by 2. So, yes, it tightened, but Carter still won, just like he was going to if the election had been held four weeks earlier. This election should also tighten: I don't expect Obama to win by the 6-8 points he's currently polling, but it's very difficult to be leading by that much and then lose.