CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Pollster]

Am hearing from some that in the last week Dems have been so confident of Newsom's safety that they have turned their attention to turning out base voters/low-propensity Latinos in McCarthy/Valadao/Nunes/Issa's districts to flex muscle and show strength going into the midterms.

[Pollster]

If it’s a 56-41 result then I think the recall will narrowly carry OC.

Wait wait, I'm lost: from where are we getting a potential 56-41 result?

That's Biden's current approval rating in California, per the exit polls.

There's not going to be any "third party" vote in the recall question.

[Pollster]

Polls nailed it.

[Pollster]

Am hearing from sources that “No on Recall” is already being discussed as a potential replacement for Dianne Feinstein.

[Pollster]

Am now hearing from the same folks who made the comments re: McCarthy/Valadao/Nunes/Issa's districts that the results have so far exceeded even their most optimistic expectations. Some believe the initial exit polls of Latinos are off the mark, but don't say so confidently.