UK By-elections thread, 2021-

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

It's possible. Only time will tell, though.

[Oryxslayer]

Remember that it's still rather early and that rumours can still be deceptive at this stage.

Eventually we'll have pictures of vote stacks to make things obvious.

[MillennialModerate]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

It's possible. Only time will tell, though.

Even though rational says otherwise, perception wise it’s terrible for Labour

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Please behave.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Well Uxbridge might indeed go in either direction. On the one hand you have ULEZ, working against Labour, on the other hand you have MillennialModerate predicting their doom, which usually means electoral success.

[Duke of York]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

There is no evidence for this at the moment.

[TheTide]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

It's possible. Only time will tell, though.

Even though rational says otherwise, perception wise it’s terrible for Labour

I think you are generally perceived as being somewhat less desirable than pancreatic cancer.

[Oryxslayer]

Turnout in S&F is 44.23%, or a decrease of 31.4% from the GE. 37 to 38K expected votes.

[MillennialModerate]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

It's possible. Only time will tell, though.

Even though rational says otherwise, perception wise it’s terrible for Labour

I think you are generally perceived as being somewhat less desirable than pancreatic cancer.

LOL, that’s messed up

[Storr]

BBC by-election livestream link:

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-66181315

[Storr]

Turnout in S&F is 44.23%, or a decrease of 31.4% from the GE. 37 to 38K expected votes.

46.23% turnout in Uxbridge & South Ruislip.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Greens claiming at least 3rd in S&F.

[YL]

Recount in Uxbridge & South Ruislip.

[Oryxslayer]

Turnout in Selby is 44.7%, which is down 27% on the GE. 35 to 36K votes expected.

Apparently a major party recount in Uxbridge.

Deceration in S&F is supposedly forthcoming soon, aka hopefully before 3 am.

[Pericles]

The Guardian says Labour asked for the recount.

[MillennialModerate]

Sounds as if each party is going to win 1 seat tonight. Ulez saving the tories in Uxbridge

There is no evidence for this at the moment.

….

[Mike88]

In Uxbridge it seems that the Tories were around 400 votes ahead before the recount. Via Sky News.

Labour seems safe in Selby; LibDems seems to have in the bag Somerton and Frome.

[AndyHogan14]

ULEZ costing Labour a victory in Uxbridge (if they do indeed lose) will likely kill the scheme in the outer reaches of Greater London permanently.

[IceAgeComing]

If Labour lose in Uxbridge I think it poses questions about the Mayoral election next year - I think its fair to say that Khan hasn't been the best mayor and you've got the ULEZ issue in outer London and crime and the various issues with the Metropolitan Police as a big issue. Khan will be the favourite going in and the Conservative candidate is hardly inspiring but I think it'll end up close - there's also the fact that FPTP advantages the Conservatives as the Lib Dems and Greens votes that used to generally transfer towards Labour under SV obviously won't anymore.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Losing Selby while retaining Uxbridge would be one of the most shocking electoral combinations I've seen in a while.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

As well as everything else, I have suspected for a while that Johnson may have had a negative personal vote. The constituency remains a Conservative stronghold in local elections, even last years which were generally very bad in the capital.

[YL]

Hamilton "Anti Ulez" (Independent) 208
Baquiche (Lib Dem) 526
Beales (Lab) 13470
Bell (Independent) 91
Binface (Count Binface Party) 190
Corbyn (Let London Live) 101
Fox (Reclaim) 714
Gardner (SDP) 248
Gemmell (Climate Party) 49
Green (Green) 893
Hewison (Rejoin EU) 105
Hope (OMRLP) 32
Jane (UKIP) 61
Joseph (Independent) 8
Ntefon (Christian People's Alliance) 78
Phaure (Independent) 186
Tuckwell (Con) 13965

Con majority 495

[Oryxslayer]

Deceleration from Uxbridge & South Ruislip:

Lib-Dem: 526
Labour: 13,470
Ind Bell: 91
Ind  77 Joseph: 8
Let London Live indie: 101
Reclaim: 714
SDP: 248
Climate: 49
Green: 893
anti-Ulez ind: 208
Binface: 190
Rejoin EU: 105
raving looney: 102
Christian peoples: 78
No-ULEZ Ind 2: 186
UKIP: 61
Conservative: 13,965

[Pericles]

Lol what a wild result, maximum Westminster drama. Uxbridge going first also helps it be the 'headline result' of the night.

[Sestak]

Miliband bros…our time has come