Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (user search)
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  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 209313 times)
SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« on: November 06, 2018, 09:03:06 PM »

It seems like 2016 all over again in Florida.
Starting to have serious doubts about Miami et al. having enough votes for Nelson and Gillum.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 09:17:46 PM »

What's up with NJ-3?
McArthur up 62-36 according to CNN, 25% of votes counted.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 09:41:12 PM »

Sherrod Brown's margin is collapsing.
All urban counties are at around 25% of votes counted, still way behind compared to the rest of Ohio.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2018, 09:47:19 PM »

Staubenow looking quite weak with 14% in.
55% in Genesee (68% in 2012), 60% in Wayne (76%).
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2018, 09:57:20 PM »

Michigan Senate map so far looking a lot closer to the Trump map than Stabenow's last map...
Yeah, and ugly numbers for Evers in Wisconsin too (tied with 36% in and all of Milwaukee counted).
May have to worry about Minnesota next.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2018, 10:15:32 PM »

OK-05 may well go to Horn.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2018, 10:27:16 PM »

Early numbers in the Minnesota house seats don't seem too great for Democrats.

Menendez seems to have dragged down D House challengers in NJ.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2018, 10:13:23 AM »

What ballots are left in Florida? Provisionals and that's it?
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2018, 05:01:55 AM »

Unexpected win in NM-02, given what was left to count.

In the meanwhile, NYT has called WA-03. Maybe a tad premature?
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2018, 09:19:07 AM »

Scott currently with 1 vote lead in Monroe Co. FL

R. Scott      18 021 votes
B. Nelson   18 020 votes

That was true also on election night.

Anyway 538 also rates NY-27 as Likely R.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2018, 09:29:44 AM »

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.
He'll stop trolling when people stop paying attention to him...
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2018, 12:20:01 PM »

Looking at the NYT map, Scott has a 21,986 votes lead.
There are 7 precints to be counted, all in Bay county (where Scott leads 46,595 vs 16,659 with 37/44 counts), so I guess the lead will end up being around 25,000 votes.

That's without considering any provisionals or the likes.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2018, 06:23:46 PM »


God damn, what is it with Florida and elections being run in a hilariously incompetent manner?

My guess is that Florida is no different than any other state.  I think if we were to put a microscope on most of our elections we would see more incompetency than we are comfortable with.  Florida is just always so close that we end up looking at it more closely than others.

That's true in general, I'm afraid.

I've been assisting the counting of votes since 2013 as a list representative in Italy, and I've seen terrible things and had great discussions with poll workers ashamingly unaware of any electoral rule.
Ever since then I am much more wary when voting, and always hope that my vote gets counted right.
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