AZ Sen - Trafalgar - Masters +1
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Author Topic: AZ Sen - Trafalgar - Masters +1  (Read 1485 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: November 07, 2022, 10:33:34 PM »
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2022, 10:35:01 PM »
Clearly herding, also yet again to trying to keep a good rating, so that people have to take them seriously when they put out obvious junk (like their WA polls)
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2022, 10:35:17 PM »
ITS HAPPENING!!!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2022, 10:53:06 PM »

no
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2022, 11:01:51 PM »
Yes..

I would prepare yourself for it.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2022, 11:02:32 PM »
Masters ain't at 50 yet, folks. (In this poll or otherwise.)
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2022, 11:28:28 PM »

If by “it’s” you mean a 4-point Kelly win, then yes, It’s Happening!
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2022, 11:35:50 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on November 07, 2022, 11:02:32 PM
Masters ain't at 50 yet, folks. (In this poll or otherwise.)

He was in the DFP poll.

Only one that matters is in 24 hours (and I doubt either candidate gets 50%).
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2022, 11:39:20 PM »
Quote from: Incitatus for Senate on November 07, 2022, 11:35:50 PM
Quote from: soundchaser on November 07, 2022, 11:02:32 PM
Masters ain't at 50 yet, folks. (In this poll or otherwise.)

He was in the DFP poll.

Only one that matters is in 24 hours (and I doubt either candidate gets 50%).

Also, the idea that Masters is the one who needs to be at 50% in this race is pretty comical.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2022, 11:39:52 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on November 07, 2022, 11:39:20 PM
Quote from: Incitatus for Senate on November 07, 2022, 11:35:50 PM
Quote from: soundchaser on November 07, 2022, 11:02:32 PM
Masters ain't at 50 yet, folks. (In this poll or otherwise.)

He was in the DFP poll.

Only one that matters is in 24 hours (and I doubt either candidate gets 50%).

Also, the idea that Masters is the one who needs to be at 50% in this race is pretty comical.

Insurgent Incumbent Mark Kelly
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2022, 11:40:28 PM »
We will find out if Trafalgar is right they had Zeldin leading HOCHUL
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2022, 11:43:34 PM »
For comparison's sake, Trafalgar polled Arizona Senate pretty much in line with other pollsters in 2020, but weirdly stopped in early October. This poll is also in line with current polling.

They published one more Arizona poll of just the presidential race in late October, which nailed Trump's percentage but underestimated Biden by around 300 bp.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2022, 11:48:35 PM »
Quote from: Incitatus for Senate on November 07, 2022, 11:43:34 PM
For comparison's sake, Trafalgar polled Arizona Senate pretty much in line with other pollsters in 2020, but weirdly stopped in early October. This poll is also in line with current polling.

They published one more Arizona poll of just the presidential race in late October, which nailed Trump's percentage but underestimated Biden by around 300 bp.

This last part, specifically, is why I think it’s important Masters isn’t at 50 here.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #13 on: November 20, 2022, 07:05:19 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 07, 2022, 11:28:28 PM

If by “it’s” you mean a 4-point Kelly win, then yes, It’s Happening!

Looks like another one for my accolades thread!
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2022, 09:35:05 PM »
What a jackass
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2022, 01:08:11 AM »

This "AncestralDemocrat" character must have had a rough night!
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2022, 01:13:23 AM »
Trafalgar is like the Rasmussen of pollsters!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2022, 08:06:26 AM »

no
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