Quinnipiac Wisconsin - Biden +6

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

In fact the forum actively purges the users who would accept it as fact out of the forum like Snowlabrador

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He was muted for his constant dooming and concern trolling, and in case you haven’t noticed, he’s back, and almost as worse than ever.

This is absolutely not true either. The mental gymnastics to tell how every poll that favours Trump is a bad one, is just ridicilous.

It absolutely is true. Have you not paid attention to some of those poll threads that have exploded?

Maybe SnowLabrador just has different opinions than you, and you call that "dooming". Is it not a possibility he just genuinely believes Democrats will lose?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In fact the forum actively purges the users who would accept it as fact out of the forum like Snowlabrador

.

He was muted for his constant dooming and concern trolling, and in case you haven’t noticed, he’s back, and almost as worse than ever.

This is absolutely not true either. The mental gymnastics to tell how every poll that favours Trump is a bad one, is just ridicilous.

It absolutely is true. Have you not paid attention to some of those poll threads that have exploded?

Maybe SnowLabrador just has different opinions than you, and you call that "dooming". Is it not a possibility he just genuinely believes Democrats will lose?

SL doesn't add substantial facts but polls like in MOE Trump leads by 4 which is well within MOE

If he added facts like wbrooks that will be different but he makes these blankets statements based on polls not votes and they can be wrong just like you said Trump will win based on MC polls and every poll has contradicted MC which has Trump up 10 in NC

[dspNY]

Biden +6 in Wisconsin sounds like an outlier but Biden +1 is definitely plausible at the moment. RFK Jr hurts Biden far more than Trump in this poll, which is different from national polls now showing RFK Jr hurting Trump more

[pbrower2a]

A Trump collapse is obviously more likely than a Biden collapse at this point because trump is more erratic. President Biden doesn't have to defend himself in a court of law, and nothing good happens to one's image even if one is acquitted of all charges (think of the late OJ Simpson). Until the proceedings are complete I must assume the likelihood of an acquittal on all charges.

The first evidence of a collapse is seeming outliers, and Biden at 50 and ahead by 6 in a state in which he barely scraped by in 2020 can look like an outlier.

It is impossible to see Biden winning the tipping-point state of 2020 with Trump winning the electoral vote. Unless the incumbent is on track to wipe the floor with a weak challenger like Mondale in 1984 we don't see such so early.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A Trump collapse is obviously more likely than a Biden collapse at this point because trump is more erratic. President Biden doesn't have to defend himself in a court of law, and nothing good happens to one's image even if one is acquitted of all charges (think of the late OJ Simpson). Until the proceedings are complete I must assume the likelihood of an acquittal on all charges.

The first evidence of a collapse is seeming outliers, and Biden at 50 and ahead by 6 in a state in which he barely scraped by in 2020 can look like an outlier.

It is impossible to see Biden winning the tipping-point state of 2020 with Trump winning the electoral vote. Unless the incumbent is on track to wipe the floor with a weak challenger like Mondale in 1984 we don't see such so early.

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It's a 319 map alright and we will get some version of 270 to 319 because FL and TX and OH are safe R. MC polls that show Trump up 5 and 10 in NC is the outlier