MN: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Trump +3 (H2H), +5 (4-way), tied (6-way) in internal poll
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  MN: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Trump +3 (H2H), +5 (4-way), tied (6-way) in internal poll
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Author Topic: MN: Fabrizio, Lee and Associates: Trump +3 (H2H), +5 (4-way), tied (6-way) in internal poll  (Read 741 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 04, 2024, 08:39:58 PM »

New Poll: Minnesota President by Fabrizio, Lee and Associates on 2024-05-05

Summary: D: 40%, R: 40%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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iceman
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2024, 12:59:12 AM »
« Edited: May 05, 2024, 02:29:57 AM by iceman »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing if he loses Minnesota at this point.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2024, 01:10:52 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

He most likely isn't.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2024, 01:25:49 AM »

Trump can win Minnesota but if he does it would be something like 45.0 vs 44.9 which is why the 2-way doesn't make sense.
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iceman
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2024, 02:03:56 AM »

We all know how polls grossly overestimate DEM support in Midwestern States, especially in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. We all saw that in 2016 and 2020.

If Biden is tied with Trump in Minnesota, then his campaign is really in deep sh!t.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2024, 02:07:25 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Lol stop worrying about polls we have the Early vote, every poll can't take at face value

What does Cook, Sabado do, they don't change their ratings all the time MN is still a Safe D state this is an R poll antways
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TheTide
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2024, 02:19:32 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Given that you say 'most likely' rather than 'certainly', I'm going to come up with a map in which Biden wins without Minnesota (and MI, WI and PA).


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2024, 02:21:28 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Given that you say 'most likely' rather than 'certainly', I'm going to come up with a map in which Biden wins without Minnesota (and MI, WI and PA).




Lol TX is gone as a Battleground state, gas prices are going up again so that may cause some political trends to go in R fav until the Fall.

We aren't winning TX due to high gas prices it's an oil State
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iceman
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2024, 02:26:19 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Given that you say 'most likely' rather than 'certainly', I'm going to come up with a map in which Biden wins without Minnesota (and MI, WI and PA).





this map is plausible in the next few cycles but certainly not in 2024 lol. No way Texas and North Carolina votes to the left of Minnesota and Pennsylvania sooner lol.
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2024, 02:29:44 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Given that you say 'most likely' rather than 'certainly', I'm going to come up with a map in which Biden wins without Minnesota (and MI, WI and PA).




TX voting D while MN votes R is pretty laughable.
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Fusternino
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2024, 02:49:17 AM »

I have always seen MN as far more socially liberal than the rest of the Upper Midwest? Donnie continuing to do really well those pro-choice, white grievance voters?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2024, 02:57:40 AM »

We all know how polls grossly overestimate DEM support in Midwestern States, especially in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. We all saw that in 2016 and 2020.

If Biden is tied with Trump in Minnesota, then his campaign is really in deep sh!t.

Even with RFK Jr., if Trump couldn't win it in 2016, I really don't see how he'll win it this year.

Where's BRTD? Let's see what he has to say.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2024, 03:16:40 AM »

Trump internal with incomplete info. Who did they poll in the 6 way contest? Who did they poll in the 4 way? No methodology or crosstabs given. I rarely say ignore any particular poll but without more info we can ignore this one.
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Dumbo
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« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2024, 03:36:08 AM »


Even with RFK Jr., if Trump couldn't win it in 2016, I really don't see how he'll win it this year.


2016 doesn't give me any hope

- Clinton won by 1.5 %, all it takes is a shift of 0.75%

- 8 years ago

- Clinton approval 2016: 35-49
- Biden approval 2024: 37-53

- RFK Jr.







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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2024, 06:17:45 AM »

Biden is expanding the map all right. Just in the wrong direction.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #15 on: May 05, 2024, 10:13:50 AM »

Interesting. Biden is most likely losing is he loses Minnesota.

Given that you say 'most likely' rather than 'certainly', I'm going to come up with a map in which Biden wins without Minnesota (and MI, WI and PA).




Are you high?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #16 on: May 05, 2024, 10:22:19 AM »

If it's a Trump internal then you know it's a lie. They probably didn't even poll and are just putting out random numbers, which is perfectly ok with Atlas because "Trump is likely winning today"or some BS excuse.
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #17 on: May 05, 2024, 12:05:10 PM »

Biden needs to DROP OUT to save Democracy.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: May 05, 2024, 02:25:54 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2024, 02:55:30 PM by Eraserhead »

I'd like to see more public polling. I'll just say that.

The primary here was...something.
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« Reply #19 on: May 05, 2024, 07:47:58 PM »

We all know how polls grossly overestimate DEM support in Midwestern States, especially in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. We all saw that in 2016 and 2020.

If Biden is tied with Trump in Minnesota, then his campaign is really in deep sh!t.

Even with RFK Jr., if Trump couldn't win it in 2016, I really don't see how he'll win it this year.

Where's BRTD? Let's see what he has to say.
It's a Trump internal and check out the link. No info on who was polled or crosstabs, just an anecdotal claim of it at a fundraising event.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #20 on: May 05, 2024, 08:09:42 PM »


Even with RFK Jr., if Trump couldn't win it in 2016, I really don't see how he'll win it this year.


2016 doesn't give me any hope

- Clinton won by 1.5 %, all it takes is a shift of 0.75%

- 8 years ago

- Clinton approval 2016: 35-49
- Biden approval 2024: 37-53

- RFK Jr.









I think it's important to note that the Biden campaign isn't ignoring warning signs like the Clinton campaign did about the Midwest in 2016.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #21 on: May 06, 2024, 09:30:13 AM »

We all know how polls grossly overestimate DEM support in Midwestern States, especially in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. We all saw that in 2016 and 2020.

If Biden is tied with Trump in Minnesota, then his campaign is really in deep sh!t.

Even with RFK Jr., if Trump couldn't win it in 2016, I really don't see how he'll win it this year.

Where's BRTD? Let's see what he has to say.

Good chance Trump does better than 2016 and MN flipping is really an underrated possibility.

It's an internal yes, it doesn't have VA going for Trump, so nothing to see there.
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