Why Oregon is a swing state (user search)
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  Why Oregon is a swing state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why Oregon is a swing state  (Read 9827 times)
bedstuy
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« on: August 10, 2013, 03:17:23 PM »

Oregon is not a swing state and it's trending Democratic.  Plus, the Republican areas of the state are losing population or about static.  Meanwhile, metro Portland is growing.

Maybe if Republican can get more ironic votes from hipsters.
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bedstuy
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2013, 08:22:38 AM »

Oregon isn't a swing state. Bush was only close in 2000 because of a strong Nader performance.
Consider, though, that a lot of people in the eastern part of the state were turned off by the environmental policies of Democrats.  I suspect that if the networks hadn't called Florida so early, then Bush would have carried it.

Oregon is a vote by mail state, so... no.
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bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2015, 10:31:35 AM »

Oregon is not a swing state and it's trending Democratic.  Plus, the Republican areas of the state are losing population or about static.  Meanwhile, metro Portland is growing.

Maybe if Republican can get more ironic votes from hipsters.

Trending Dem means its PVI is become more D. Is thsat the case?

Actually the GOP does well until Multomah County begin reporting.

BTW OR voters are getting exactly what they deserve with the current Gov

I know 20 years ago Republicans had 2 US Senators, controlled the state house and had a 2/3 split in US House seats.  Now, Democrats have 2 Senators, control the State house and have a a 4/1 split in US House seats.

And as I said, the most Republican areas of the state are emptying out or growing very slowly.  The Portland Metro, meanwhile, is expanding.  So you do the math.
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