2017 British Columbia election (user search)
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Author Topic: 2017 British Columbia election  (Read 67465 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: January 10, 2017, 09:23:03 PM »
Huntingdon retiring. https://twitter.com/keithbaldrey/status/819006502233112577
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: January 12, 2017, 10:05:51 AM »
Clark has approved Kinder Morgan.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2017, 08:43:19 AM »
Globe on ground wars & Vancouver Sun on key battlegrounds.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2017, 09:46:01 AM »
Here. http://www.cknw.com/2017/05/01/exclusive-poll-shows-bc-liberals-edging-slight-lead-after-televised-debate/?sc_ref=twitter
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2017, 07:35:58 AM »
Smyth: Grits are solid in bellwether Kamloops.

Mainstreet: 42% (-2), 37% (+3), 21% (-1).
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2017, 08:41:44 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2017, 08:51:07 PM by RogueBeaver »
Weaver not a Horgan fan.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2017, 08:53:01 PM »
Fixed it. But I suspect there won't be a minority.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2017, 07:38:03 AM »
Angus Reid: 41/40/15.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2017, 06:14:37 PM »
Innovative Research likes Clark's chances.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2017, 07:42:18 AM »
Palmer predicts a reduced Grit majority.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: May 29, 2017, 03:03:43 PM »
Make 1985 Great Again?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: May 29, 2017, 04:05:40 PM »
How does 44/43 last 4 years?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: May 29, 2017, 04:19:13 PM »
Still pretty shaky. I'd call another election in about a year with finish... er, "strong, stable majority government" as my slogan.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: June 02, 2017, 08:34:25 PM »
« Edited: June 02, 2017, 08:40:47 PM by RogueBeaver »
Kady O'Malley has a typically excellent explainer on the potential parliamentary crisis. Spoiler: last time something like it happened, (NL 1908), LG called a new election. To me this smacks of King's 1925-6 playbook. As does Solomon on BC Grits hoping to win a new election within 18 months.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2017, 02:07:13 PM »
Hmm. Though Spector said he thinks deal will hold for a while so long as SOs are changed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: June 22, 2017, 08:47:58 AM »
Clark says she won't advise the LG what to do if the Throne Speech is defeated.

Smyth: Clark wants another election.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: June 22, 2017, 12:23:09 PM »
Grit Speaker elected. Problem solved?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: June 27, 2017, 12:17:40 PM »
Mason: Grits are playing a procedural card they hope will convince Guichon to grant Clark dissolution. If it fails, then Clark's done as leader.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: June 27, 2017, 12:48:20 PM »
« Edited: June 27, 2017, 12:49:57 PM by RogueBeaver »
That's what Meighen thought too. Depends who wins the messaging war in an election scenario.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: June 27, 2017, 12:51:34 PM »
If Clark's gambit fails, then she'll join Frank Miller in the Hall of Minority Infamy.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2017, 06:33:24 PM »
« Edited: June 28, 2017, 06:35:33 PM by RogueBeaver »
To paraphrase Bill Clinton, it depends on what the definition of "advice" is.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2017, 09:01:11 PM »
Mason: difficult to imagine Guichon ignoring Clark's advice.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #22 on: June 29, 2017, 07:32:30 AM »
Palmer says Guichon should give Horgan a chance despite Grit scheming.

Mainstreet: 45/34/17. 43/37 in Greater Vancouver.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2017, 08:52:40 AM »
My spin is that Clark should explicitly ask for dissolution, as Harper did for prorogation, and quit the word games.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2017, 03:05:38 PM »
Baldrey: most likely scenario is Horgan being commissioned, 2nd most likely is dissolution.
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