North Carolina

[auburntiger]

If North Carolina is at the national average, what states will be moving rightward to offset that? I could see Iowa moving right, and have NC more Republican than Ohio, Florida, and Missouri this time. ACtually, I could see this in an Obama/Romney matchup, where it's a close race, but NC ends up going to the President by <1% as it did in 2008.

300-238 Obama

[auburntiger]

If North Carolina is at the national average, what states will be moving rightward to offset that? I could see Iowa moving right, and have NC more Republican than Ohio, Florida, and Missouri this time. ACtually, I could see this in an Obama/Romney matchup, where it's a close race, but NC ends up going to the President by <1% as it did in 2008.

300-238 Obama

I agree with everything there except Ohio. How does he lose that and win NC?

He may very well not lose Ohio, but this map was to illustrate how close the election could be while Obama still wins NC.