What more does a candidate need to do to lose a Presidential election? (user search)
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  What more does a candidate need to do to lose a Presidential election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What more does a candidate need to do to lose a Presidential election?  (Read 4270 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 03, 2012, 05:24:41 AM »

It's without doubt, the WORST campaign since McGovern... even McCain/Palin was more coherent and stable than this... if the economy was good, Obama would be 10% ahead at least...

However, the combination of the wonky economy and you know... the black thing, means his ceiling is about what he got in 2008... unless Romney literally has a meltdown on live TV.

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2012, 08:18:28 AM »

The campaign itself has been badly run, but not as terribly as the McCain/Palin campaign.

Romney has the following things going for him:

1) He's obviously very intelligent, unlike the last GOP president.

2) He looks like a stereotypical US president. This gives him a subliminal cognitive advantage.

3) He's got business credentials. Not bad in an economic crisis.

4) The economy is bad. Bad news for any incumbent.

5) The electorate is incredibly divided. 2008 was in effect a landslide election, yet Obama still only won by 7 points. We are unlikely to see anybody win by larger margins than that in this political climate. The GOP could run a reincarnation of Adolph Hitler and he would probably still crack at least 43% just because he isn't a "liberal, socialist, muslim".

So unless Romney tonight reveals that his fiscal plan is to sell America to China for 18 trillion dollars (he gets to keep 10%), then he won't lose by more than 7 points tops and he'll keep all the states McCain won as well as Indiana.

This is a good post. There is no way Romney will not secure all of the McCain states along with Indiana. Add FL, NC, VA, OH and NH to the list, and Romney is president-elect.

Team Romney has a secret plan to win the election. Hint: It involved being beyond underwhelming in September.

You have gone off the deep-end of delusion if you think being the worst campaign in 40 years is some sort of strategic genius...
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