PPP: Obama holds leads in WI and IA (user search)
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  PPP: Obama holds leads in WI and IA (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: Obama holds leads in WI and IA  (Read 1616 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« on: October 25, 2012, 12:55:57 PM »

Scotty will be out with his poll in an hour or two......
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2012, 12:58:33 PM »

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

PPP doesn't have a Democratic lean anymore.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2012, 01:05:31 PM »

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

PPP doesn't have a Democratic lean anymore.
They consistently have among the best polls for Democrats.

No, they really don't.

"But Public Policy Polling has lost most of the strong Democratic lean that it had earlier in the cycle, and it has even been on Mr. Romney’s side of the consensus in a few states like Iowa and New Hampshire. We now calculate their house effect as being only about half a percentage point in favor of Mr. Obama."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/20/oct-20-calm-day-in-forecast-but-volatility-ahead/#more-36417
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