NY Long Island, Sienna College Romney +2

[dirks]

I can see Obama floundering here among the large population of jewish voters due to his anti-israel stances. Also not getting much help from the upper middle class Irish and Italian catholics out on the island

he won nassau by 8 and suffolk by 6 in 2008, so overall his numbers when you factor in the good folks upstate will take a hit in NY

the city, forget about it. the wretched bronx, vile lower west side...ugh. Obama is still taking NY by a ton, but Romney may crack 40%

[dirks]

his anti-israel stances.

that's the perception if you live in this area...and it's hurting him with the jewish voters of Long Island.

[dirks]

Brooklyn especially. Brooklyn has a lot of older russian voters who will go for Romney...but it's a breeding ground for young recent college grad liberals from around the country to congregate too.

[dirks]

Romney will do better north of NY...while not truly "upstate" Dutchess, Putnam, Rockland, and Orange counties will all go to Romney. Maybe even Sullivan county