Next Nova Scotia general election (user search)
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Author Topic: Next Nova Scotia general election  (Read 12501 times)
Oryxslayer
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« on: August 16, 2021, 05:21:02 PM »
« edited: August 16, 2021, 05:28:30 PM by Oryxslayer »
Mainstreet poll on the eve of election:

Liberals: 38%
PCs: 36%
NDP: 21%
Greens: 3%

16% of respondents are undecided, suggesting either low turnout or a volatile electorate even at this late stage.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2021, 01:11:08 AM »
Quote from: beesley on August 17, 2021, 12:48:18 AM
Also, probably better for the Liberals due to early voting when the numbers were a bit better?

Theoretically the postal votes could have banked votes for the Liberals and save their administration. However the large number of undecided voters suggests that late deciders could be more consequential than any other group.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2021, 06:15:49 PM »
NDP leading in the first two polls! Stop the count!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2021, 06:38:36 PM »
PC's Waaaaayyyy out ahead right now, but its mostly rural ridings reporting with only a handful from Halifax. And it's also very early. But the Liberals held a lot of these rural seats last time so...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2021, 07:01:01 PM »
PCs now leading in all reporting rural Cape Breton seats, despite the Libs enjoying strong polling leads there...in every poll, including the last two.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2021, 07:05:47 PM »
CBC calls PC govt, no knowledge if majority or minority. Liberals screwed up bigtime.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2021, 07:14:45 PM »
Quote from: DistingFlyer on August 17, 2021, 07:07:46 PM
Didn't expect this, but am pleased. I would like it to be a harbinger of next month's vote, but am not that optimistic.

Still, the federal Grits must be at least a little concerned right now.

Yes, its a bad omen. Not because of the partisanship, PC's =/= National Conservatives, barely see eye to eye, and the Libs will win Nova Scotia in a month, but rather that the incumbents blew a lead infinitely larger than his present advantage. Not hard to imagine the federal Libs losing control of the narrative for different reasons, and that could be enough to flip polls.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2021, 07:19:25 PM »
Currently a 3-way race in restored Preston seat BTW, with the Libs leading at the moment.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2021, 08:18:40 PM »
PC's back at 29 seats. Uncalled Chester-St. Margaret's flipped to marginal PC after the Libs leading there for most of the night.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2021, 10:07:07 PM »
Glace Bay gives the CBC enough info to call it a PC majority.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2021, 09:00:31 AM »
« Edited: August 25, 2021, 09:36:35 AM by Oryxslayer »
Judicial recount ordered in Glace Bay-Dominion, where the PC's won by 246 33 votes. Requested by the NDP.
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