What SHOULD have happened? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 17, 2024, 11:50:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What SHOULD have happened? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What SHOULD have happened?  (Read 3752 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« on: November 30, 2014, 03:40:00 PM »

The Democrats should have picked up the states. This was about a R+7 election. In an neutral election, FL,ME,MA,MD,WI,MI,KS,IL should have swung the other way. If this were  2006 or 2008, I could see AZ and GA flipping and OH getting a good enough candidate to win. But there was a reason this was an R wave. Between the media bias, the changing (a lot of opportunity and at least neutral macros, but still feels bad) economy, poor candidates and an agenda that went off the rails, it was supposed to be bad.
2014 was a lot like 1986 than 2006. People tried something new, it had staying power and they wanted to go back into their comfort zone.
Yeah true the US Senate Election were comparable in a 1986 vs 2014 comparison. The Dems gained 8 Senate Seats to a Senate Majority in 1986 just like the Republicans gained 9 Senate Seats on their way to a Senate Majority in 2014.

The difference is though the Republicans gained 13 seats so far(pending LA results in LA-05 and LA-06) in 2014  in the US House where as the Dems gained 5 seats in the US House in 1986.

Basically 2014 was comparable to 1986 in the US Senate and 1984 in the US House when the Republicans gained 16 US House Seats if LA-05 and LA-06 go Republican which they probably will.
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2014, 03:46:22 PM »

Lepage  still might have won  because of a 3rd Party Candidate(Elliot Cultler) being in the race and getting 8% of the vote. ME-02 the R's probably would not have not won it without the wave though.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 10 queries.