Early Voting thread.

[Minnesota Mike]

Let early voting begin. Military/overseas ballots have to be sent by this weekend. North Carolina has a few thousand ballots back already. Minnesota starts in person and absentee voting tomorrow. I'm sure other states have/will shortly start also. So time see if we can devine anything from the EV entrails. I know it's mostly meaningless but gives us something besides polls to over analyse.

[Minnesota Mike]

North Carolina 9-22.

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-22%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

Dem- 2,506
Rep- 665
Other 1,428

Dems normally dominate the early absentee vote in NC so about what we should expect.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Early Voting Begins:

Minnesota – Sept. 23
South Dakota – Sept. 23
Virginia – Sept. 23
Wyoming – Sept. 23
Illinois – Sept. 29
Michigan – Sept. 29
Maine – Oct. 9
California – Oct. 10
Montana – Oct. 11
Nebraska – Oct. 11
New Mexico – Oct. 11
Arizona – Oct. 12
Indiana – Oct. 12
Ohio – Oct. 12
Georgia – Oct. 17
Iowa – Oct. 19
Kansas – Oct. 19
Rhode Island – Oct. 19
Tennessee – Oct. 19
North Carolina – Oct. 20
Washington – Oct. 21
Massachusetts – Oct. 22
Nevada – Oct. 22
Arkansas – Oct. 24
Colorado – Oct. 24
Idaho – Oct. 24
South Carolina – Oct. 24
Texas – Oct. 24
Hawaii – Oct. 25
Missouri – Oct. 25
Louisiana – Oct. 25
Utah – Oct. 25
West Virginia – Oct. 26
Maryland – Oct. 27
Delaware – Oct. 28
Florida – Oct. 29
New Jersey – Oct. 29
New York – Oct. 29

[wbrocks67]

We should start getting some #s out of PA soon, mail-in ballots were sent out on 9/19.

[It’s so Joever]

North Carolina 9-22.

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-22%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

Dem- 2,506
Rep- 665
Other 1,428

Dems normally dominate the early absentee vote in NC so about what we should expect.

Nothing shocking yet.

[Minnesota Mike]

Good news for those who like election results in as timely of manner as possible, a judge in Maryland has ruled counties can begin processing received absentee ballots before election day. State law, which was waived in 2020 but used in 2022 primaries, said absentees could not begin to be processed until 2 days after the election.

https://twitter.com/Brad7News/status/1573394082126516224

[wbrocks67]

Good news for those who like election results in as timely of manner as possible, a judge in Maryland has ruled counties can begin processing received absentee ballots before election day. State law, which was waived in 2020 but used in 2022 primaries, said absentees could not begin to be processed until 2 days after the election.

https://twitter.com/Brad7News/status/1573394082126516224

If only PA would do the same....

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Dem- 3,102 (+596)
Rep- 832 (+167)
Other 1,428 1,767 (+339)

Dem- 54.22% (-0.27%)
Rep- 14.54% (+0.08%)
U/A- 30.89% (+0.19%)

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-23%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Much to early to tell but those numbers are a slight underperformance for the GOP and a slight overperformance for the Dems.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1573656717124112386

Prof. McDonald is a good follow for early voting numbers.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Much to early to tell but those numbers are a slight underperformance for the GOP and a slight overperformance for the Dems.

Look at that Green overperformance though

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

SOUTH DAKOTA:
DEM: 3,035
IND: 1,204
NPA: 675
REP: 6,445

[Wormless Gourd]

Virginia's early vote tracker is up! 11,000 votes have been accepted so far, with results by CD and county.

https://www.vpap.org/elections/early-voting/2022-november-general-election/

[Minnesota Mike]

Virginia's early vote tracker is up! 11,000 votes have been accepted so far, with results by CD and county.

https://www.vpap.org/elections/early-voting/2022-november-general-election/

Is there anything on the ballot besides House races?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are gonna do well, the polls are coming around to Biden just like they did in 2008/12/2020, he is definitely the comeback kid again

It's too many people still struggling to go back to Trickling down economics tax break for rich

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

September 25, 2022

Dem- 3,657 (+555)
Rep- 983 (+151)
Other 2,078 (+311)

Dem- 54.27% (+0.05%)
Rep- 14.59% (+0.05%)
U/A- 30.84% (-0.05%)

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-25%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

Dems steady from 2020 margin, Republicans slightly down and Independents slightly up.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need NC and Cheri Beasley

[Nyvin]

Virginia's early vote tracker is up! 11,000 votes have been accepted so far, with results by CD and county.

https://www.vpap.org/elections/early-voting/2022-november-general-election/

Is there anything on the ballot besides House races?

There's a few other local elections like city council races and ballot measures, etc, but for the most part no, just US House.

[ProgressiveModerate]

North Carolina 9-22.

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-22%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

Dem- 2,506
Rep- 665
Other 1,428

Dems normally dominate the early absentee vote in NC so about what we should expect.

Just curious from where do they post these daily updates?

[Minnesota Mike]

Just curious from where do they post these daily updates?

https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/

[ProgressiveModerate]

Just curious from where do they post these daily updates?

https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/

Thank you! Is there a way to see partisan breakdown by county?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Just curious from where do they post these daily updates?

https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/

Thank you! Is there a way to see partisan breakdown by county?

Not at the moment.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Just curious from where do they post these daily updates?

https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/

Thank you! Is there a way to see partisan breakdown by county?

Sort of! All the information is available - all the raw data is here, I think (the "Absentee Counts by County" CSV file), but you'd need to be able to wrangle the data yourself in order to come out with counts: https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/absentee-and-provisional-data

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

September 27, 2022

Dem- 4,657 (+1,000)
Rep- 1,354 (+371)
Other 2,689 (+611)

Dem- 53.39% (-0.88%)
Rep- 15.52% (+0.93%)
U/A- 30.83% (-0.01%)

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Press/2022%20General/NC%20Absentee%20Stats%20for%202022%20General/2022-09-27%20Daily%20Absentee%20Stats%20Report%20-%202022%20General.pdf

[Minnesota Mike]

Prof. McDonald has website keeping track of the early vote up and running.

https://rpubs.com/ElectProject/early_vote_2022

Votes are starting to come in from Pennsylvania but numbers so far are low, 1269 total, it's not worth breaking it down yet.