Rank the top five most likely people to be elected POTUS in November 2016

[Bull Moose Base]

Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

[Bull Moose Base]

After Hillary, I still think the next 5 or more Republicans are about equal in likelihood to get elected president. I'd have to factor in chance of running and leave off Romney, Pence who still seem unlikely to run, Bush, Kasich, Rubio who still seem close to 50/50, Huckabee who seems likely but with info too hard to trust. Guess until the field clears up, I'd go...

2. Cruz
3. Walker
4. Paul
5. Christie

[Bull Moose Base]

The wrongests!

1. Jeb Bush

Also, I don't think Hillary is going to run, though if she does, she of course keeps the strongest Democrat alternatives out of the race.

Taking all that into account:
1. Rand Paul

#2 Schweitzer
#5 Huntsman

1. Chris Christie

Anybody have a different opinion after the midterms?

1. Scott Walker
2. Ted Cruz
3. Hillary Clinton

1. Rob Portman
2. Scott Walker
3. Hillary Clinton
Obviously if by some miracle Hillary doesn't run then all bets are off.

Bush, Walker, Ryan, Paul, Kasich, in no particular order

1. John Kasich

1. Jeb Bush

1. Paul

[Bull Moose Base]

Motion to ban people saying Kasich is more likely to be elected than Clinton.