Heitmex
Newbie
Posts: 2
Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.39
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« on: May 04, 2021, 08:07:37 PM » |
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It seems like we see a partial reversal of 2020 trends, with suburban voters swinging towards the Republicans (hence why Arizona and Georgia flip and Texas remains likely). But on the other hand some 2020 trends still remain, especially in the Driftless Area. North Carolina flips because of increased turnout the African American vote(?) and that's the same reason why Mississippi and South Carolina are likely instead of safe. Hispanics swing Republican as well.
Wisconsin probably flips to the GOP (following a similar swing to Iowa going from likely to safe) and Michigan stays Democratic because of increased African American vote in Detroit. Pennsylvania would be a complete tossup and it probably depends how well Biden does in the years leading to the election.
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