LEAN TAKEOVER (1 R, 1 D)
Open; Blanco (D)
Fletcher, (R-KY)
TOSS-UP (1 R, 0 D)
Blunt (R-MO)
NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (1 R, 0 D)
Daniels (R-IN)
CLEAR ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (0 R, 2 D)
Gregoire (D-WA)
NC Open (Easley, D)
CURRENTLY SAFE (4 R, 4 D)
Barbour (R-MS)
Douglas (R-VT)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Huntsman (R-UT)
Lynch (D-NH)
Manchin (D-WV)
Schweitzer (D-MT)
DE Open (Minner, D)
http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2007/06/2007-08-gubernatorial-ratings.html
I would maybe put Gov. Roy Blunt (R-MO) as a lean Dem.
Yepp. There´s an older poll from late 2006 showing Jay Nixon leading Blunt by double digits. His approvals where very low back then and are now improving, so that it can become closer until next year, but I still think Nixon is favored by 5% then:
"A majority polled also said they would like to replace Gov. Matt Blunt with Attorney General Jay Nixon. 52 percent favor Nixon, a Democrat who has announced his plans to run for governor in 2008; 39 percent support Blunt, a Republican who still has two years remaining in his term."http://www.columbiamissourian.com/stories/2006/09/04/poll-shows-race-between-talent-mccaskill-even/