Really depends on the nominee.
I will vote Trump if Klobuchar is not the nominee and vote for Slotkin. Senate I haven’t decided yet.
So my five are Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and Pennsylvania.
Arizona, Florida and Georgia will 99% vote republican if they vote for a loon. (Sanders/warren). Pete will get crushed by trump.
Florida is so hard to win for democrats. Minnesota is going to be very tough.
You think Minnesota is a near-lock for Trump?
Definitely.
I was watching an event yesterday with Amy Klobuchar and she was talking about how Democrats have retreated from rural/small town America. She was talking about the 32 counties that voted for Barack Obama/Trump in 16 and how it was similar in Minnesota in 16. She even told Clinton in October that she might need to come to Minnesota as voters she knew were with Klobuchar were backing Trump but the Clinton campaign wanted to stay on offence and win Florida, North Carolina and Arizona. The reason she outperforms other Democrats is because she actively and purposefully campaigns in small/rural counties. Klobuchar was talking about Clay and Polk Counties and she’s the only statewide democrat that has people on the ground and continues to meet Trump voters that tell her they had no choice compared to Clinton.
Klobuchars big point is democrats have stopped campaigning in rural districts and giving republicans a free run. I think this happened in Missouri and Ohio where Democrats became so focused on getting out the vote in urban areas they just forgot about the rural vote. There not just farmers.
Trump will spend big money here and Ilhan Omar is not like in Minnesota outside of the district. You also have a very competitive congressional seats.
Tammy Baldwin, Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar are the Template for democrats to win yet the democratic voter isn’t listening.
