More likely to lose?
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Reality check
#1
Kathy Hochul		  
#2
Ron DeSantis		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: More likely to lose?  (Read 553 times)
GALeftist
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« on: April 18, 2022, 10:35:50 PM »
For the sake of the question, assume no Cuomo running as a spoiler.
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2022, 12:19:15 AM »
Probably Hochul by a small amount. She at least has credible primary competition and has a credible nominee in the general. I know it’s New York but Zeldin prob has a small shot to win (like 10%).

DeSantis is a lock to make the general and is above water in a right leaning state in a good environment for republicans. If Hochul had no one credible in the primary than I would say Ron. So it’s def close.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2022, 11:56:11 AM »
Obviously DeathSantis, but the fact that this is even a question and nearly 30% of poll respondants think he isn't is worrying.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2022, 02:04:02 PM »
This isn't as clear as people will make it out to be.

FL: R+8 state in 2020
NY: D+19 state in 2020

It only takes an R+6 environment for those to equal out, hypothetically.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2022, 08:22:29 PM »
0 = 0
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2022, 02:44:20 PM »
DeSantis by default, but neither will lose or come close to losing.
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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2022, 03:03:02 PM »
I anticipate that neither one will lose but Hochul will have a tougher time in the primary
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #7 on: April 24, 2022, 03:12:01 PM »
DeSantis, but I suspect both are going to win.
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