Swing/trend map from 2012 to 2016 predictions

[Skill and Chance]

Trend:

The candidates should be fairly obvious.

[Skill and Chance]

Trend:

The candidates should be fairly obvious.

So you're envisioning this narrow-GOP-win election map?:

I'm envisioning a 2000-style nightmare where MN and MI are in recount for weeks and Ryan has clearly won the popular vote.  Warner needs one of them.  Georgia looks like NC did this time.  Then again, Warner would probably see this Midwestern strategy coming and pick Klobuchar or Stabenow to the homestate safely.

[Skill and Chance]

I'm envisioning a 2000-style nightmare where MN and MI are in recount for weeks and Ryan has clearly won the popular vote.  Warner needs one of them.  Georgia looks like NC did this time.  Then again, Warner would probably see this Midwestern strategy coming and pick Klobuchar or Stabenow to the homestate safely.

I could easily see Warner/Klobuchar, but I also doubt that Warner would have any trouble winning MN to begin with.

Against a full court press in the Rust Belt with Ryan and Toomey, he could.  I kind of assumed the bottom falls out in the Midwest because I think the R's will focus all of their efforts there unless they get Martinez or Rubio.