AZ: Data Orbital Biden + 1
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Author Topic: AZ: Data Orbital Biden + 1  (Read 883 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: May 07, 2024, 01:58:11 PM »
🟦 Biden 39%
🟥 Trump 38%
🟨 RFK Jr 14%
⬜ Undecided 8%



https://t.co/fCxmchptfK

President Bidens first lead in Arizona in a Public Poll since June 2023.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2024, 02:02:22 PM »
Again H2H would have been nice but good to see Biden up here. They where the most accurate in 2020 iirc
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 02:15:09 PM »
Biden has 290 with AZ, Trump can't win without AZ
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Vern
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« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2024, 02:36:03 PM »
The best they could do was show a .7% lead for Biden haha
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2024, 02:39:10 PM »
Both candidates not reaching 39% is pretty much worthless. I'm really tired of these polls, including the anti-vaxx weirdo supposedly breaking double digits.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: May 07, 2024, 02:40:43 PM »
Quote from: Vern on May 07, 2024, 02:36:03 PM
The best they could do was show a .7% lead for Biden haha

It's not like their last cycle polls were great for Dems lol
https://dataorbital.com/final-az-general-election-polls-republicans-in-a-strong-position-going-into-election-day-2022/
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2024, 02:42:05 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on May 07, 2024, 02:39:10 PM
Both candidates not reaching 39% is pretty much worthless. I'm really tired of these polls, including the anti-vaxx weirdo supposedly breaking double digits.

Gallego winning we aren't losing any state that Ds win in, MC had Trump +6 that's proof their polls are bogus


We need to expand the map into TX and FL and WV
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #7 on: May 07, 2024, 02:43:08 PM »
Quote from: Vern on May 07, 2024, 02:36:03 PM
The best they could do was show a .7% lead for Biden haha

Cope
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #8 on: May 07, 2024, 03:19:41 PM »
Quote from: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on May 07, 2024, 02:42:05 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on May 07, 2024, 02:39:10 PM
Both candidates not reaching 39% is pretty much worthless. I'm really tired of these polls, including the anti-vaxx weirdo supposedly breaking double digits.

Gallego winning we aren't losing any state that Ds win in, MC had Trump +6 that's proof their polls are bogus


We need to expand the map into TX and FL and WV

WV?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: May 07, 2024, 03:30:35 PM »
No just TX and FL
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: May 07, 2024, 05:00:54 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on May 07, 2024, 02:39:10 PM
Both candidates not reaching 39% is pretty much worthless. I'm really tired of these polls, including the anti-vaxx weirdo supposedly breaking double digits.

Yeah, honestly I think pollsters need to hit the LV models early or something, b/c you're just still getting way too inflated numbers for third parties at this point.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11 on: May 07, 2024, 05:03:18 PM »
Quote from: Vern on May 07, 2024, 02:36:03 PM
The best they could do was show a .7% lead for Biden haha

This pollster leans right. They would not be doing anything to help Biden.


He's one of those "I don't like Trump, but" people.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #12 on: May 07, 2024, 06:52:05 PM »
Not all that helpful. It's nice to see Biden lead an Arizona poll nonetheless.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: May 07, 2024, 06:54:37 PM »
I am about to post Gallego up 4
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holtridge
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« Reply #14 on: May 07, 2024, 08:13:00 PM »
Finally a lead in Arizona. A slim one but a lead nonetheless.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #15 on: May 07, 2024, 08:19:08 PM »
Quote from: holtridge on May 07, 2024, 08:13:00 PM
Finally a lead in Arizona. A slim one but a lead nonetheless.
This is probably where the margin ends up but both will get more than 39% lol
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slothdem
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« Reply #16 on: May 08, 2024, 10:31:05 AM »
Quote from: Vern on May 07, 2024, 02:36:03 PM
The best they could do was show a .7% lead for Biden haha

Maybe I'm wrong but isn't this a non-partisan poll ran by a Republican? I also think they are consistently good and that the guy has a reputation as an "Arizona politics-knower."
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Ashley Biden's Diary
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #17 on: May 08, 2024, 10:44:24 AM »
Why is everyone arguing about this worthless poll with both candidates below 40%? This isn't 1992.
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Redban
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« Reply #18 on: May 08, 2024, 10:46:33 AM »
Quote from: Frozen Sky Ever Why on May 08, 2024, 10:44:24 AM
Why is everyone arguing about this worthless poll with both candidates below 40%? This isn't 1992.

It's not 2020 either. Third-party is going to be a factor. RFK Jr, Stein, West are at 14-15% in the average.

You can deny that third party will be a factor as much as you wish; your denying it won't make it any less real
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: May 08, 2024, 11:39:40 AM »
Quote from: Redban on May 08, 2024, 10:46:33 AM
Quote from: Frozen Sky Ever Why on May 08, 2024, 10:44:24 AM
Why is everyone arguing about this worthless poll with both candidates below 40%? This isn't 1992.

It's not 2020 either. Third-party is going to be a factor. RFK Jr, Stein, West are at 14-15% in the average.

You can deny that third party will be a factor as much as you wish; your denying it won't make it any less real


RFK is getting 3% in Natl polls
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emailking
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« Reply #20 on: May 10, 2024, 09:38:29 PM »
Glad to see Biden is leading the key swing states like AZ, this is an improvement on his 2020 margin.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: May 11, 2024, 10:08:29 AM »
Quote from: emailking on May 10, 2024, 09:38:29 PM
Glad to see Biden is leading the key swing states like AZ, this is an improvement on his 2020 margin.
True but I would have liked to see h2h numbers
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emailking
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« Reply #22 on: May 11, 2024, 12:58:55 PM »
That would be nice. I'm still so confused whether these 3rd parties will matter in the end or just collapse like they usually do.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: May 11, 2024, 01:11:30 PM »
Quote from: emailking on May 11, 2024, 12:58:55 PM
That would be nice. I'm still so confused whether these 3rd parties will matter in the end or just collapse like they usually do.
I see rfk getting Gary Johnson numbers at best.
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