Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 202367 times)
Maxwell
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« Reply #625 on: April 11, 2017, 09:14:43 PM »
ew last batch was rough.
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Matty
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« Reply #626 on: April 11, 2017, 09:15:10 PM »

what is the current lead for estes?
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RI
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« Reply #627 on: April 11, 2017, 09:15:26 PM »
Even 6-point margin now.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #628 on: April 11, 2017, 09:16:05 PM »
Kek's magic just isn't there tonight, fellas.  Luján should take this and hang it on his wall.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #629 on: April 11, 2017, 09:16:19 PM »

52.1-46.1% Estes
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Badger
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« Reply #630 on: April 11, 2017, 09:16:47 PM »
Quote from: AKCreative on April 11, 2017, 09:11:47 PM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on April 11, 2017, 09:10:30 PM
Quote from: AKCreative on April 11, 2017, 09:08:42 PM

I don't think it's possible for Estes to win by 9%....there isn't enough left outside of Sedgwick and Sedgwick looks to be about even at best for Estes.

It's up to 5 right now

Well,  if that happens then the hype was kinda overblown, but the GOP still under-performed.

Yeah, massively.

Not notably. Massively.

And not with an Akin-like candidate either.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #631 on: April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM »
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too.  

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.
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RI
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« Reply #632 on: April 11, 2017, 09:18:07 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too. 

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.

Pawnee County is split between congressional districts.
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #633 on: April 11, 2017, 09:18:11 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too.  

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.
sweating like a dog
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Badger
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« Reply #634 on: April 11, 2017, 09:18:21 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too.  

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.

He is the KS Secretary of State. Hardly an empty suit.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #635 on: April 11, 2017, 09:18:39 PM »
Looks like I was right on the money with a sub-10 win for Estes.

Still, this was a massive underperformance by the GOP. Estes should have been stomping all over this district by over a 20 point margin.
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cinyc
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« Reply #636 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:19 PM »
Harvey County flipped to Estes with 30/38 reporting.  The only remaining question seems to be will Sedgwick County flip once all of the election day vote is recorded?  It significantly tightened with the last batch.
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Barnes
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« Reply #637 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:27 PM »
« Edited: April 11, 2017, 09:21:12 PM by Barnes »
This is the closest margin that an election for Congress or for President has been since 1996 in this district. Five months after the Republicans swept the general elections.

How could anyone possibly complain about that? Like seriously, why do you think the road to a majority passes through Wichita?
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #638 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:32 PM »
Quote from: Badger on April 11, 2017, 09:18:21 PM
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too.  

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.

He is the KS Secretary of State. Hardly an empty suit.

No he isn't. He's the State Treasurer.
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RI
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« Reply #639 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:42 PM »
6.5 point lead now with 74% in. Probably expands to about 9 points or so.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #640 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:57 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.

Only a small portion of Pawnee County is in KS-4.

And the GOP historically has demonstrated a much higher propensity of voting in special elections relative to their actual numbers.
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White Trash
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« Reply #641 on: April 11, 2017, 09:20:17 PM »
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/kansas-house-special-election-district-4

Harvey flips to GOP.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #642 on: April 11, 2017, 09:20:28 PM »
eh what can ya do. R+15
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krazen1211
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« Reply #643 on: April 11, 2017, 09:20:36 PM »
Winning is fun. Estes in the lead!
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Xing
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« Reply #644 on: April 11, 2017, 09:21:42 PM »
Well, KS-3 should be fun in 2018. Smiley
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Gass3268
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« Reply #645 on: April 11, 2017, 09:22:13 PM »
What an embarrassing result for Republicans.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #646 on: April 11, 2017, 09:22:40 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 11, 2017, 09:22:13 PM
What an embarrassing result for Republicans.

Spin, spin, spin.... LOL!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #647 on: April 11, 2017, 09:22:57 PM »
And KS-02
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #648 on: April 11, 2017, 09:24:31 PM »
Yeah. A single digit margin in a district that was R+30 less than 6 months ago is totally normal!
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Badger
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« Reply #649 on: April 11, 2017, 09:24:49 PM »

Um, yes, a +27 Trump seat going by single digits to an underfunded political neophyte kinda ain't spin.
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